How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Toledo 5 Cincinnati 2 +4.0
+0.2
Reading 2 Indy 3 +2.9
+0.4
Wheeling 3 Elmira 1 -1.8
+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Elmira vs Wheeling+7.4+3.4+3.4OutOutOut
+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.3-0.3+0.1
Fort Wayne vs Cincinnati+7.0+5.4+5.4OutOutOut
+0.4+0.3+0.3-0.4-0.4-0.4
Reading vs IndyOut-0.2-0.2+5.4+5.4+5.4
-0.8-0.0-0.0+0.7+0.7+0.7

What If

Chances based on how well the Indy finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsBrabham1234567891011121314Count
7410-012.0%No1250384,437,599,161
7300-16.5No6205320876,481,750
7201-0OutNo40603,561,061,785
Total:6.6%No72740268,875,142,696
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Reading 2 Indy 3 -0.5
Toledo 5 Cincinnati 2 -0.2
Wichita 1 Tulsa 2 (so)-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Reading vs Indy+1.2+0.2+0.2-0.9-1.0-1.0
Fort Wayne vs Cincinnati-0.5-0.3-0.3+0.5+0.5+0.5
Elmira vs Wheeling-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.4+0.4+0.0
Wichita vs Allen+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728
7410-012244419
7300-16205320
7201-04060
Total:712243126