How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati 2 Toledo 3 1.6
-0.1
Florida 3 Wheeling 2 (so)-0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Gwinnett vs Reading5.04.95.0-2.6-2.6-6.0
0.20.20.2-0.1-0.1-0.2
Cincinnati vs Toledo-1.0-2.0-2.0-0.7-0.72.2
0.10.00.0-0.1-0.10.0
Elmira vs Kalamazoo-1.0-1.0-0.9-0.2-0.21.5
Florida vs Wheeling0.5-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.4-0.3

* A starred outcome is not statistically different from zero (< 3σ), so it might actually have no effect.

Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well the Gwinnett finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs1234567891011Count
7750-077.1%032351230334,214
7640-145.600540504491,721
7541-016.7011666181,169,958
30-216.401166518291,064
7431-13.50353441,384,708
20-31.11485086,139
7332-00.3034661,644,672
21-20.303367614,142
10-40.10297112,764
7222-1No15851,459,320
11-3No1387121,452
00-5No1387745
7123-0No7931,157,186
12-2No694432,500
01-4No6948,957
7013-1No298686,716
02-3No29842,305
6914-0No199408,846
03-2No199101,728
67-68No100180,321*
Total:7.3%0016306310,629,458

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Lottery Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati 2 Toledo 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Gwinnett vs Reading0.20.20.2-0.1-0.1-0.2
Cincinnati vs Toledo0.10.00.0-0.1-0.10.0

* A starred outcome is not statistically different from zero (< 3σ), so it might actually have no effect.

Lottery What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at lottery seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819
7750-000302351230
7640-10000540504
7541-0001166618
30-201166518
7431-10035344
20-314850
7332-003466
21-203367
10-402971
7222-11585
11-31387
00-51387
7123-0793
12-2694
01-4694
7013-1298
02-3298
6914-0199
03-2199
67-68100
Total:00001063063