Gwinnett Gladiators Playoff ChancesDid not play, make playoffs up 1.4 to 7.3% 67 points 30 30-7 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain | Friday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | | Cincinnati 2 Toledo 3 | 1.6 | | -0.1 | | | Florida 3 Wheeling 2 (so) | -0.3 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | | | Saturday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | | Gwinnett vs Reading | 5.04.95.0-2.6-2.6-6.0 | | 0.20.20.2-0.1-0.1-0.2 | | | Cincinnati vs Toledo | -1.0-2.0-2.0-0.7-0.72.2 | | 0.10.00.0-0.1-0.10.0 | | | Elmira vs Kalamazoo | -1.0-1.0-0.9-0.2-0.21.5 | | | | | Florida vs Wheeling | 0.5-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.4-0.3 | | | |
* A starred outcome is not statistically different from zero (< 3σ), so it might actually have no effect. What IfChances based on how well the Gwinnett finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 77 | | 5 | 0 | - | 0 | 77.1 | % | | | | | 0 | 3 | 23 | 51 | 23 | 0 | | 334,214 | | | 76 | | 4 | 0 | - | 1 | 45.6 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 40 | 50 | 4 | | 491,721 | | | 75 | | 4 | 1 | - | 0 | 16.7 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 66 | 18 | | 1,169,958 | | | 3 | 0 | - | 2 | 16.4 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 65 | 18 | | 291,064 | | | 74 | | 3 | 1 | - | 1 | 3.5 | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 53 | 44 | | 1,384,708 | | | 2 | 0 | - | 3 | 1.1 | | | | | | | | | 1 | 48 | 50 | | 86,139 | | | 73 | | 3 | 2 | - | 0 | 0.3 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 34 | 66 | | 1,644,672 | | | 2 | 1 | - | 2 | 0.3 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 33 | 67 | | 614,142 | | | 1 | 0 | - | 4 | 0.1 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 29 | 71 | | 12,764 | | | 72 | | 2 | 2 | - | 1 | No | | | | | | | | | 15 | 85 | | 1,459,320 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 3 | No | | | | | | | | | 13 | 87 | | 121,452 | | | 0 | 0 | - | 5 | No | | | | | | | | | 13 | 87 | | 745 | | | 71 | | 2 | 3 | - | 0 | No | | | | | | | | | 7 | 93 | | 1,157,186 | | | 1 | 2 | - | 2 | No | | | | | | | | | 6 | 94 | | 432,500 | | | 0 | 1 | - | 4 | No | | | | | | | | | 6 | 94 | | 8,957 | | | 70 | | 1 | 3 | - | 1 | No | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | | 686,716 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 3 | No | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | | 42,305 | | | 69 | | 1 | 4 | - | 0 | No | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | | 408,846 | | | 0 | 3 | - | 2 | No | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | | 101,728 | | | 67 | -68 | | No | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 180,321 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 7.3 | % | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 63 | | 10,629,458 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Lottery Big Games| Friday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | | Cincinnati 2 Toledo 3 | -0.1 | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | | | Saturday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | | Gwinnett vs Reading | 0.20.20.2-0.1-0.1-0.2 | | | Cincinnati vs Toledo | 0.10.00.0-0.1-0.10.0 | |
* A starred outcome is not statistically different from zero (< 3σ), so it might actually have no effect. Lottery What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance will finish regular season at lottery seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 77 | | 5 | 0 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 23 | | 51 | 23 | 0 | | | | 76 | | 4 | 0 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | | 40 | 50 | 4 | | | | 75 | | 4 | 1 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | | 16 | 66 | 18 | | | | 3 | 0 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | | 16 | 65 | 18 | | | | 74 | | 3 | 1 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 53 | 44 | | | | 2 | 0 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 48 | 50 | | | | 73 | | 3 | 2 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 34 | 66 | | | | 2 | 1 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 33 | 67 | | | | 1 | 0 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 29 | 71 | | | | 72 | | 2 | 2 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | 85 | | | | 1 | 1 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | 87 | | | | 0 | 0 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | 87 | | | | 71 | | 2 | 3 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 93 | | | | 1 | 2 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 94 | | | | 0 | 1 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 94 | | | | 70 | | 1 | 3 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | | | | 0 | 2 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | | | | 69 | | 1 | 4 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | | | | 0 | 3 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | | | | 67 | -68 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 63 | | |
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