Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Gwinnett Gladiators Playoff Chances 2012-2013

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 95.3%

71 points 34 23-3

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Everblades 2 Royals 4	+0.1		+0.1
Jackals 5 Nailers 1			-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
IceMen vs Walleye	+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Gladiators finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in				Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Brabham		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	Count

95	12	0		-	0	In		0.0	%	23	64	13												87,197
94	11	0		-	1	In		0.0		12	62	26	0											158,586
93	11	1		-	0	In		No		6	54	40	0	0										601,398
	10	0		-	2	In		No		6	52	42	0	0										195,014
92	10	1		-	1	In		No		2	41	57	0	0	0									1,623,957	*
91	10	2		-	0	In		No		1	28	70	1	0	0									2,812,864
	9	1		-	2	In		No		1	26	72	1	0	0									1,686,585	*
90	9	2		-	1	In		No		0	16	81	2	1	0	0								6,145,532
	8	1		-	3	In		No		0	15	82	3	1	0	0								1,056,447	*
89	9	3		-	0	In		No		0	8	86	3	2	0	0								7,776,539
	8	2		-	2	In		No		0	7	85	4	3	0	0								5,887,871
	7	1		-	4	In		No		0	7	85	5	3	1	0								435,642	*
88	8	3		-	1	In		No		0	3	84	5	6	2	0	0							14,905,718
	7	2		-	3	In		No		0	3	82	6	7	2	0	0							3,384,975	*
87	8	4		-	0	In		No		0	1	77	6	11	5	0	0							14,150,516
	7	3		-	2	In		No		0	1	74	6	13	6	0	0							12,386,530
	6	2		-	4	In		No		0	1	71	7	14	7	0	0							1,181,027	*
86	7	4		-	1	100.0	%	No		0	0	62	5	17	14	1	0	0						23,528,880
	6	3		-	3	100.0		No			0	58	5	19	16	2	0	0						5,855,456
	5	2		-	5	In		No			0	54	5	21	18	2	0							278,345	*
85	7	5		-	0	100.0		No			0	48	3	19	25	5	0	0						17,870,781
	6	4		-	2	100.0		No			0	43	3	20	27	6	0	0						16,691,672
	5	3		-	4	100.0		No			0	39	3	21	30	7	0	0						1,785,145	*
84	6	5		-	1	100.0		No			0	28	2	16	37	15	2	0	0					25,343,126
	5	4		-	3	100.0		No			0	24	1	16	39	17	2	0						6,606,550
	4	3		-	5	99.9		No			0	20	1	16	40	19	2	0						341,218	*
83	6	6		-	0	99.8		No			0	16	1	10	39	29	6	0	0					16,049,958
	5	5		-	2	99.7		No			0	13	0	9	39	31	7	0	0					15,060,950
	4	4		-	4	99.5		No			0	10	0	9	38	34	8	0	0					1,639,383	*
82	5	6		-	1	98.2		No			0	5	0	4	29	42	17	2	0					19,052,098
	4	5		-	3	97.7		No			0	4	0	4	27	43	20	2	0					4,853,630
	3	4		-	5	97.1		No				3	0	3	25	44	22	3	0					244,469	*
81	5	7		-	0	93.8		No				2	0	1	17	43	31	6	0					10,340,692
	4	6		-	2	92.5		No				1	0	1	14	42	34	8	0	0				9,215,419
	3	5		-	4	91.0		No				1	0	1	12	40	37	9	0					938,694	*
80	4	7		-	1	81.9		No				0	0	0	6	31	45	18	0	0				9,995,829
	3	6		-	3	79.3		No				0	0	0	5	28	46	20	0	0				2,428,588	*
79	4	8		-	0	66.1		No				0	0	0	2	18	46	33	1	0				4,744,846
	3	7		-	2	62.8		No				0		0	1	16	46	36	1	0				3,781,463
	2	6		-	4	59.5		No				0		0	1	14	45	39	1	0				328,344	*
78	3	8		-	1	44.5		No				0		0	0	7	37	52	4	0	0			3,589,010
	2	7		-	3	41.0		No				0		0	0	6	35	55	4	0	0			723,053	*
77	3	9		-	0	27.3		No				0		0	0	3	25	63	9	0	0			1,516,059
	2	8		-	2	24.6		No						0	0	2	23	65	10	0	0			1,057,819	*
76	2	9		-	1	12.8		No							0	1	12	67	19	2	0			963,059	*
75	2	10		-	0	5.3		No								0	5	59	30	5	0	0		477,820	*
74	1	10		-	1	1.7		No								0	2	45	41	12	1	0		124,371	*
73	1	11		-	0	0.4		No								0	0	29	45	22	4	0		49,840	*
72	0	11		-	1	0.1		No									0	14	40	35	11	0		7,017
71	0	12		-	0	Out		No										6	28	43	22	1		32,484

Total:						95.3	%	0.0	%	0	2	39	2	10	18	15	9	4	0	0	0	0		279,992,466

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Everblades 2 Royals 4	-0.1
Jackals 5 Nailers 1	+0.0
Eagles 4 Bulls 5 (so)	-0.0
Komets 5 Walleye 4 (ot)	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
IceMen vs Walleye	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23

95	12	0		-	0	0	2	19	47	28	4	0
94	11	0		-	1	0	0	7	33	45	14	0	0
93	11	1		-	0		0	3	21	48	27	2	0
	10	0		-	2		0	2	18	48	30	2	0
92	10	1		-	1		0	1	9	41	43	6	0	0
91	10	2		-	0		0	0	4	29	52	14	1	0
	9	1		-	2		0	0	3	27	54	15	1	0
90	9	2		-	1		0	0	1	16	53	27	3	0	0
	8	1		-	3			0	1	14	53	28	4	0	0
89	9	3		-	0		0	0	0	8	45	38	9	0	0	0
	8	2		-	2			0	0	7	44	39	9	0	0	0
	7	1		-	4			0	0	6	43	40	10	1	0
88	8	3		-	1			0	0	3	30	46	19	2	0	0	0
	7	2		-	3			0	0	2	29	46	21	3	0	0
87	8	4		-	0				0	1	17	43	31	7	1	0	0
	7	3		-	2				0	1	16	42	32	8	1	0	0
	6	2		-	4				0	0	15	41	34	9	1	0	0
86	7	4		-	1				0	0	7	31	41	18	3	0	0	0				0
	6	3		-	3				0	0	6	29	41	20	3	0	0	0				0
	5	2		-	5					0	6	28	41	21	4	0	0	0
85	7	5		-	0				0	0	2	17	38	31	10	1	0	0	0			0
	6	4		-	2					0	2	16	37	32	11	2	0	0	0			0
	5	3		-	4				0	0	2	14	36	34	12	2	0	0	0			0
84	6	5		-	1					0	0	6	24	37	24	7	1	0	0			0	0
	5	4		-	3					0	0	5	22	37	26	8	1	0	0			0
	4	3		-	5						0	4	21	37	27	9	1	0	0			0
83	6	6		-	0					0	0	2	11	29	34	19	5	1	0			0	0
	5	5		-	2					0	0	1	10	28	35	20	5	1	0			0	0
	4	4		-	4					0	0	1	8	26	35	22	6	1	0			0	0
82	5	6		-	1						0	0	3	14	30	32	16	3	0			2	0
	4	5		-	3						0	0	2	12	29	33	17	4	0			2	0
	3	4		-	5						0	0	2	11	28	34	19	4	0			3	0
81	5	7		-	0						0	0	0	4	17	32	28	11	1			6	0
	4	6		-	2						0	0	0	4	15	31	29	11	1			8	0	0
	3	5		-	4						0	0	0	3	14	30	30	12	1			9	0
80	4	7		-	1							0	0	1	5	19	31	21	4	0		18	0	0
	3	6		-	3							0	0	1	5	17	31	22	4			20	0	0
79	4	8		-	0								0	0	1	8	22	26	9	0		33	1	0
	3	7		-	2								0	0	1	7	21	26	9	0		36	1	0
	2	6		-	4								0	0	1	6	19	25	9	0		39	1	0
78	3	8		-	1									0	0	2	10	21	12	0		52	4	0	0
	2	7		-	3									0	0	1	8	19	12	0		55	4	0	0
77	3	9		-	0									0	0	0	3	12	12	0		63	9	0	0
	2	8		-	2									0	0	0	3	11	11	0		65	10	0	0
76	2	9		-	1										0	0	1	4	8	0		66	19	2	0
75	2	10		-	0											0	0	1	4	0		59	31	5	0	0
74	1	10		-	1												0	0	1	0		44	41	12	1	0
73	1	11		-	0												0	0	0	0		29	45	22	4	0
72	0	11		-	1														0			14	40	35	11	0
71	0	12		-	0																	6	28	43	22	1

Total:						0	0	0	0	2	9	16	18	16	13	9	6	3	1	0		4	0	0	0	0