Langley Rivermen Hockey 2012-2013

Lost to Surrey 3-5, playoff odds up 0.3 to 96.4%

41 points 18 19-4 1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Surrey 5 Langley 3	-1.1		-0.1
Penticton 11 Coquitlam 0	+1.1
Powell River 3 Victoria 2 (ot)			-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Langley vs Coquitlam	+2.6+1.7+0.4-1.7-4.9		+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.2
Victoria vs Powell River			+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1

Chances based on how well the Langley finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT		T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

69	14	0		-	0	0		In			2	90	5	3						4,105
68	13	0		-	1	0		In			0	65	15	21						310	*
67	13	1		-	0	0		In			0	42	19	38	0					1,821	*
66	12	1		-	1	0		In			0	23	21	55	1					5,495	*
65	12	2		-	0	0		In				10	16	71	3	0				19,134	*
64	11	2		-	1	0		In			0	3	10	76	9	1				44,742	*
63	11	3		-	0	0		In			0	1	5	71	18	5				112,125	*
62	10	3		-	1	0		In				0	2	56	28	14				213,921	*
61	10	4		-	0	0		In				0	0	38	35	26	0			425,721	*
60	9	4		-	1	0		In				0	0	21	34	44	0			679,374	*
59	9	5		-	0	0		In					0	11	33	55	1			405,295
	8	4		-	2	0		In					0	10	28	61	1			711,400	*
58	8	5		-	1	0		In					0	4	20	73	3			818,136
	7	4		-	3	0		In					0	4	19	74	3			697,131	*
57	8	6		-	0	0		In					0	1	15	75	9			728,547
	7	5		-	2	0		In						1	11	79	9			1,002,169	*
	7	5		-	1	1		In					0	1	12	77	9			369,613
56	7	6		-	1	0		100.0	%					0	6	77	17	0		1,292,196
	6	5		-	3	0		100.0						0	5	77	17	0		701,719	*
	6	5		-	2	1		100.0						0	5	77	18	0		438,411	*
55	6	6		-	2	0		100.0						0	2	66	32	0		995,279
	7	7		-	0	0		100.0						0	3	65	32	0		987,179
	6	6		-	1	1		100.0						0	2	65	32	0		508,332
	5	5		-	3	1		100.0						0	2	66	32	0		385,339	*
54	6	7		-	1	0		99.8						0	1	54	45	0		1,516,893
	5	6		-	3	0		99.8						0	0	54	45	0		434,309
	6	7		-	0	1		99.9						0	1	54	45	0		387,270
	5	6		-	2	1		99.8						0	1	54	45	0		511,864	*
53	6	8		-	0	0		99.6						0	0	37	63	0		1,014,760
	5	7		-	2	0		99.5						0	0	37	62	0		1,058,899	*
	5	7		-	1	1		99.5							0	37	62	0		817,501	*
52	5	8		-	1	0		98.5							0	25	73	1		1,328,715
	4	7		-	3	0		98.3							0	25	73	2		359,012
	5	8		-	0	1		98.6							0	25	73	1		339,730
	4	7		-	2	1		98.4							0	25	73	2		418,563	*
51	5	9		-	0	0		96.8							0	13	84	3		786,913
	4	8		-	2	0		96.4							0	13	83	4		714,848
	4	8		-	1	1		96.4							0	13	83	4		615,356	*
50	4	9		-	1	0		92.4							0	7	85	8	0	1,067,235	*
	3	8		-	3	0		91.5								7	84	8	0	438,468	*
49	4	10		-	0	0		86.6								3	84	13	0	453,657
	3	9		-	2	0		85.3								2	83	15	0	658,971	*
48	3	10		-	1	0		75.0								1	74	25	0	651,827	*
47	3	11		-	0	0		63.1								0	63	37	0	404,570	*
46	2	11		-	1	0		46.8								0	47	53	0	186,360	*
45	2	12		-	0	0		33.6									34	66	0	94,430	*
44	1	12		-	1	0		19.9									20	80	0	31,663	*
43	1	13		-	0	0		11.3									11	89	0	12,823	*
42	0	13		-	1	0		3.5									3	96	0	2,317	*
41	0	14		-	0	0		1.6									2	97	1	4,737

Total:								96.4	%		0	0	0	3	6	43	44	4	0	25,859,185

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Surrey 5 Langley 3	+0.1
Powell River 3 Victoria 2 (ot)	+0.1
Penticton 11 Coquitlam 0	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Langley vs Coquitlam	-0.2-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.3
Victoria vs Powell River	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT		T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16

69	14	0		-	0	0				1	1	84	6	5		3
68	13	0		-	1	0					0	52	12	15		21
67	13	1		-	0	0					0	30	13	19		38	0
66	12	1		-	1	0					0	13	10	21	0	55	1
65	12	2		-	0	0						4	6	16	0	71	3	0
64	11	2		-	1	0					0	1	2	10	0	76	9	1
63	11	3		-	0	0					0	0	1	5	0	71	18	5
62	10	3		-	1	0						0	0	2	0	56	28	14
61	10	4		-	0	0						0	0	0	0	38	35	26	0
60	9	4		-	1	0							0	0	0	21	34	44	0
59	9	5		-	0	0								0	0	11	33	55	1
	8	4		-	2	0								0	0	10	28	61	1
58	8	5		-	1	0								0	0	4	21	72	3
	7	4		-	3	0									0	3	17	76	3
57	8	6		-	0	0								0	0	1	15	75	9
	7	5		-	2	0										1	11	79	9
	7	5		-	1	1								0		1	12	77	9
56	7	6		-	1	0										0	6	77	17	0	0
	6	5		-	3	0										0	5	77	17	0	0
	6	5		-	2	1										0	5	77	18	0	0
55	6	6		-	2	0										0	2	66	32	0	0
	7	7		-	0	0										0	3	65	32	0	0
	6	6		-	1	1										0	2	65	32	0	0
	5	5		-	3	1										0	2	66	32	0	0
54	6	7		-	1	0										0	1	54	45	0	0	0
	5	6		-	3	0										0	0	54	45	0	0	0
	6	7		-	0	1										0	1	54	45	0	0
	5	6		-	2	1										0	1	54	45	0	0	0
53	6	8		-	0	0										0	0	37	63	0	0	0
	5	7		-	2	0										0	0	37	62	0	0	0
	5	7		-	1	1											0	37	62	0	0	0
52	5	8		-	1	0											0	25	73	1	0	0
	4	7		-	3	0											0	25	73	1	1	0
	5	8		-	0	1											0	25	73	1	0	0
	4	7		-	2	1											0	25	73	1	0	0
51	5	9		-	0	0											0	13	84	2	1	0
	4	8		-	2	0											0	13	83	2	2	0
	4	8		-	1	1											0	13	83	2	2	0
50	4	9		-	1	0											0	7	85	3	4	1
	3	8		-	3	0												7	84	3	5	1
49	4	10		-	0	0												3	84	3	8	3
	3	9		-	2	0												2	83	3	8	3
48	3	10		-	1	0												1	74	2	13	9	0
47	3	11		-	0	0												0	63	2	16	20	0
46	2	11		-	1	0												0	47	1	16	36	0
45	2	12		-	0	0													34	0	12	54	0
44	1	12		-	1	0													20	0	8	72	0
43	1	13		-	0	0													11	0	4	85	0
42	0	13		-	1	0													3		1	95	0
41	0	14		-	0	0													2		0	97	1

Total:										0	0	0	0	0	0	3	6	43	44	1	2	1	0