Cowichan Valley Capitals Hockey 2012-2013 50/50

Lost to Alberni Valley 3-5, playoff odds down 0.3 to 0.06%

24 points 10 28-3 1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs
Cowichan Valley 3 Alberni Valley 5	-0.2
Powell River 3 Victoria 2 (ot)	-0.2

Tuesday	None

Chances based on how well the Cowichan Valley finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT		T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

52		14	0		-	0	0		50.6	%						0	8	43	48	2	4,886
51		13	0		-	1	0		27.3								2	25	65	7	3,082	*
50		13	1		-	0	0		15.4								1	15	69	16	16,684	*
49		12	1		-	1	0		6.1								0	6	64	30	36,890	*
48		12	2		-	0	0		2.8								0	3	54	43	113,156	*
47		11	2		-	1	0		0.6								0	1	40	60	131,408
		11	2		-	0	1		0.6								0	1	40	59	71,067	*
46		11	3		-	0	0		0.2									0	29	71	234,205
		10	2		-	2	0		0.2									0	27	72	113,892
		10	2		-	1	1		0.2									0	28	72	94,509	*
45		10	3		-	1	0		Out										17	83	406,451
		10	3		-	0	1		Out										17	83	121,084
		9	2		-	3	0		Out										16	84	137,169	*
44		10	4		-	0	0		Out										10	90	541,419
		9	3		-	2	0		Out										9	91	320,611
		9	3		-	1	1		Out										10	90	190,566
		9	3		-	0	2		Out										9	91	90,196	*
43		9	4		-	1	0		Out										5	95	854,508
		9	4		-	0	1		Out										5	95	254,112
		8	3		-	3	0		Out										4	96	151,487
		8	3		-	2	1		Out										4	96	134,505
		8	3		-	1	2		Out										4	96	64,460	*
42		9	5		-	0	0		Out										2	98	912,382
		8	4		-	2	0		Out										2	98	608,109
		8	4		-	1	1		Out										2	98	360,807
		7	3		-	3	1		Out										2	98	109,868	*
		7	3		-	4	0		Out										2	98	84,262	*
41		8	5		-	1	0		Out										1	99	1,295,822
		8	5		-	0	1		Out										1	99	385,114
		7	4		-	3	0		Out										1	99	254,233
		7	4		-	2	1		Out										1	99	228,085
		7	4		-	1	2		Out										1	99	114,107	*
40		8	6		-	0	0		Out										0	100	1,153,413
		7	5		-	2	0		Out										0	100	817,889
		7	5		-	1	1		Out										0	100	485,772
		6	4		-	3	1		Out										0	100	83,809
		7	5		-	0	2		Out										0	100	72,409
		6	4		-	4	0		Out										0	100	123,602	*
39		7	6		-	1	0		Out										0	100	1,455,699
		7	6		-	0	1		Out										0	100	433,334
		6	5		-	3	0		Out										0	100	301,704
		6	5		-	2	1		Out										0	100	268,172
		6	5		-	1	2		Out										0	100	138,045	*
38		7	7		-	0	0		Out										0	100	1,110,740
		6	6		-	2	0		Out										0	100	803,193
		6	6		-	1	1		Out										0	100	477,995
		5	5		-	3	1		Out										0	100	84,902
		5	5		-	4	0		Out										0	100	70,997
		6	6		-	0	2		Out										0	100	124,490	*
24	-37								Out											100	7,948,061	*

Total:									0.1	%						0	0	0	3	97	24,393,362

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT		T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16

52		14	0		-	0	0											0	8	43	31	16	2	0
51		13	0		-	1	0												2	25	27	34	11	1
50		13	1		-	0	0												1	15	18	41	23	4
49		12	1		-	1	0												0	6	8	36	39	11
48		12	2		-	0	0												0	3	3	25	46	23
47		11	2		-	1	0												0	1	1	13	44	41
46		11	3		-	0	0													0	0	6	36	57
		10	2		-	2	0													0	0	5	35	59
		10	2		-	1	1													0	0	6	36	58
45		10	3		-	1	0														0	2	24	74
		10	3		-	0	1														0	2	24	74
		9	2		-	3	0														0	2	23	76
44		10	4		-	0	0														0	1	15	85
		9	3		-	2	0														0	1	14	86
		9	3		-	1	1														0	1	14	86
43		9	4		-	1	0														0	0	7	93
		9	4		-	0	1														0	0	7	93
		8	3		-	3	0															0	6	93
		8	3		-	2	1															0	7	93
42		9	5		-	0	0															0	3	96
		8	4		-	2	0														0	0	3	97
		8	4		-	1	1															0	3	97
		7	3		-	3	1															0	3	97
		7	3		-	4	0															0	3	97
41		8	5		-	1	0															0	1	99
		8	5		-	0	1															0	1	99
		7	4		-	3	0															0	1	99
		7	4		-	2	1															0	1	99
		7	4		-	1	2																1	99
40		8	6		-	0	0															0	0	100
		7	5		-	2	0															0	0	100
		7	5		-	1	1																0	100
		6	4		-	3	1																0	100
		6	4		-	4	0																0	100
39		7	6		-	1	0																0	100
		7	6		-	0	1																0	100
		6	5		-	3	0																0	100
		6	5		-	2	1																0	100
		6	5		-	1	2																0	100
38		7	7		-	0	0																0	100
		6	6		-	2	0																0	100
		6	6		-	1	1																0	100
		5	5		-	3	1																0	100
		6	6		-	0	2																0	100
37		6	7		-	1	0																0	100
		6	7		-	0	1																0	100
		5	6		-	3	0																0	100
		5	6		-	2	1																0	100
		5	6		-	1	2																0	100
24	-36																							100

Total:																		0	0	0	0	1	3	96