Coquitlam Express Hockey 2012-2013

Lost to Penticton 0-11, playoff odds down 0.3 to 3.6%

37 points 18 27-0 1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Surrey 5 Langley 3	+1.1
Penticton 11 Coquitlam 0	-1.1		-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Langley vs Coquitlam	-2.6-1.7-0.4+1.8+4.9		-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1

Chances based on how well the Coquitlam finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT		T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

57	10	0		-	0	0		91.4	%					1	9	78	3	9		5,776
56	9	0		-	1	0		79.3						0	3	67	8	21		5,581	*
55	9	1		-	0	0		68.1						0	1	54	13	32		31,977	*
54	8	1		-	1	0		54.4						0	0	36	18	46		74,641	*
53	8	2		-	0	0		41.2							0	22	19	59		233,656	*
52	7	2		-	1	0		29.3							0	11	19	71		291,924
	7	2		-	0	1		29.0							0	11	18	71		131,330	*
51	7	3		-	0	0		19.8								5	15	80	0	527,782	*
	6	2		-	2	0		18.2							0	5	14	82	0	247,871
	6	2		-	1	1		19.0								5	14	81		152,460	*
50	6	3		-	1	0		11.7								2	10	88	0	884,161
	6	3		-	0	1		11.9								2	10	88	0	325,751	*
	5	2		-	3	0		10.6								1	9	89		128,269	*
49	6	4		-	0	0		6.7								1	6	93	0	1,178,085
	5	3		-	2	0		6.0								0	6	94	0	634,396
	5	3		-	1	1		6.3								0	6	94	0	311,801
	5	3		-	0	2		5.9								0	5	94	0	124,317	*
48	5	4		-	1	0		3.2								0	3	97	0	1,689,729
	5	4		-	0	1		3.4								0	3	97	0	418,755
	4	3		-	3	0		2.8								0	3	97	0	246,875
	4	3		-	2	1		3.1								0	3	97	0	253,833	*
47	5	5		-	0	0		1.5								0	1	98	0	1,806,149
	4	4		-	2	0		1.3								0	1	99	0	988,692
	4	4		-	1	1		1.4								0	1	99	0	492,981
	4	4		-	0	2		1.2								0	1	99	0	202,896	*
46	4	5		-	1	0		0.6								0	1	99	0	2,116,434
	4	5		-	0	1		0.6								0	1	99	0	525,216
	3	4		-	3	0		0.4								0	0	100	0	302,931
	3	4		-	2	1		0.5								0	0	99	0	313,931	*
45	4	6		-	0	0		0.2								0	0	100	0	1,881,294
	3	5		-	2	0		0.2									0	100	0	970,753
	3	5		-	1	1		0.2									0	100	0	486,358
	3	5		-	0	2		0.1									0	100	0	188,134	*
44	3	6		-	1	0		0.1									0	100	0	1,729,654
	3	6		-	0	1		0.1									0	100	0	432,448
	2	5		-	3	0		0.0									0	100	0	217,607
	2	5		-	2	1		0.0									0	100	0	223,799	*
43	3	7		-	0	0		0.0									0	100	0	1,319,948
	2	6		-	2	0		0.0									0	100	0	581,016
	2	6		-	1	1		0.0									0	100	0	390,445	*
42	2	7		-	1	0		0.0									0	100	0	885,724
	2	7		-	0	1		0.0									0	100	0	224,791
	1	6		-	3	0		0.0									0	100	0	169,596	*
41	2	8		-	0	0		Out										99	1	589,967
	1	7		-	2	0		Out										99	1	191,726
	1	7		-	1	1		Out										99	1	122,211	*
40	1	8		-	1	0		Out										98	2	349,238	*
39	1	9		-	0	0		Out										96	4	195,221	*
38	0	9		-	1	0		Out										91	9	40,191	*
37	0	10		-	0	0		Out										85	15	20,864

Total:								3.6	%					0	0	1	3	96	0	25,859,185

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Penticton 11 Coquitlam 0	+0.1
Vernon 1 Salmon Arm 3	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Langley vs Coquitlam	+0.2+0.0-0.0-0.2-0.3
Merritt vs Vernon	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Trail vs Salmon Arm	+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT		T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16

57	10	0		-	0	0										1	9	78	3	9	0
56	9	0		-	1	0										0	3	67	8	21	0
55	9	1		-	0	0										0	1	54	13	31	1	0
54	8	1		-	1	0										0	0	36	18	43	3	0
53	8	2		-	0	0											0	22	19	51	7	0
52	7	2		-	1	0											0	11	19	54	15	1
	7	2		-	0	1											0	11	18	54	15	1
51	7	3		-	0	0												5	15	49	27	4
	6	2		-	2	0											0	5	14	50	28	4
	6	2		-	1	1												5	14	50	28	4
50	6	3		-	1	0												2	10	41	39	9
	6	3		-	0	1												2	11	40	39	9
	5	2		-	3	0												1	9	41	40	9
	5	2		-	2	1												2	10	41	39	9
49	6	4		-	0	0												1	6	27	48	18	0
	5	3		-	2	0												0	6	27	49	18	0
	5	3		-	1	1												0	6	27	48	18
48	5	4		-	1	0												0	3	17	50	30	0
	5	4		-	0	1												0	3	17	50	30	0
	4	3		-	3	0												0	3	17	50	31	0
	4	3		-	2	1												0	3	17	50	30	0
47	5	5		-	0	0												0	1	8	45	46	0
	4	4		-	2	0												0	1	8	45	46	0
	4	4		-	1	1												0	1	8	45	46	0
	4	4		-	0	2												0	1	8	45	46	0
46	4	5		-	1	0												0	1	3	35	61	0
	4	5		-	0	1												0	1	3	35	61	0
	3	4		-	3	0												0	0	3	35	61	0
	3	4		-	2	1												0	0	3	35	61	0
45	4	6		-	0	0												0	0	1	23	75	0
	3	5		-	2	0													0	1	24	75	0
	3	5		-	1	1													0	1	24	75	0
	3	5		-	0	2													0	1	23	76	0
44	3	6		-	1	0													0	0	15	85	0
	3	6		-	0	1													0	0	15	85	0
	2	5		-	3	0													0	0	15	85	0
	2	5		-	2	1													0	0	15	85	0
43	3	7		-	0	0													0	0	7	92	0
	2	6		-	2	0													0	0	7	92	0
	2	6		-	1	1													0	0	7	92	0
42	2	7		-	1	0													0	0	4	96	0
	2	7		-	0	1													0	0	4	96	0
	1	6		-	3	0													0	0	4	96	0
41	2	8		-	0	0															1	98	1
	1	7		-	2	0															1	98	1
	1	7		-	1	1															1	98	1
40	1	8		-	1	0															1	97	2
39	1	9		-	0	0															0	96	4
38	0	9		-	1	0															0	91	9
37	0	10		-	0	0																85	15

Total:																0	0	1	3	11	29	57	0