Alberni Valley Bulldogs Hockey 2012-2013 50/50

Beat Cowichan Valley 5-3, playoff odds up 0.0009 to 99.999996%

50 points 22 16-5 1

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cowichan Valley 3 Alberni Valley 5	In		+0.2
Merritt 3 Nanaimo 5			-0.1

Tuesday	None

Chances based on how well the Alberni Valley finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT		T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Count

74	12	0		-	0	0		In		17	4	79	0							8,278
73	11	0		-	1	0		In		6	4	89	1	0						11,069	*
72	11	1		-	0	0		In		3	2	93	2	0						58,003	*
71	10	1		-	1	0		In		1	1	92	6	0						111,211	*
70	10	2		-	0	0		In		0	1	86	12	1						320,211	*
69	9	2		-	1	0		In		0	0	73	24	3	0					497,353	*
68	9	3		-	0	0		In		0	0	59	35	7	0					593,224
	8	2		-	2	0		In		0	0	55	36	8	0					423,170	*
67	8	3		-	1	0		In		0	0	38	46	15	0					841,223
	8	3		-	0	1		In		0	0	40	47	13	0					249,968
	7	2		-	3	0		In		0	0	35	47	17	0					224,179	*
66	8	4		-	0	0		In			0	24	52	23	1					1,122,447
	7	3		-	2	0		In			0	21	51	27	1					532,109
	7	3		-	1	1		In			0	22	52	25	1					441,442	*
65	7	4		-	1	0		In				10	49	37	4					1,418,012
	7	4		-	0	1		In				11	52	33	3					420,434
	6	3		-	3	0		In				9	48	39	4					446,150	*
64	7	5		-	0	0		In				5	43	43	9					1,514,176
	6	4		-	2	0		In				4	39	47	10					783,181
	6	4		-	1	1		In				4	42	45	10					465,699
	6	4		-	0	2		In				3	39	47	10					202,406	*
63	6	5		-	1	0		In				1	29	48	21					1,672,141
	6	5		-	0	1		In				1	32	46	20					496,985
	5	4		-	3	0		In				1	25	51	23					247,494
	5	4		-	2	1		In				1	28	49	22					319,238	*
62	6	6		-	0	0		In				0	21	44	35					1,486,759
	5	5		-	2	0		In				0	17	46	37					790,680
	5	5		-	1	1		In				0	19	45	36					471,010
	5	5		-	0	2		In				0	17	46	37					211,457	*
61	5	6		-	1	0		In				0	10	35	55					1,407,358
	5	6		-	0	1		In				0	12	34	54					418,047
	4	5		-	3	0		In				0	8	36	56					208,125
	4	5		-	2	1		In				0	9	35	56					269,852	*
60	5	7		-	0	0		In				0	6	24	70	0	0			1,072,858
	4	6		-	2	0		In				0	4	25	71	0	0			554,242
	4	6		-	1	1		In				0	5	24	70	0	0			474,163	*
59	4	7		-	1	0		In					2	13	84	1	0			846,346
	4	7		-	0	1		In					2	13	83	1	0			252,627
	3	6		-	3	0		In					1	13	84	1	0			265,585	*
58	4	8		-	0	0		In					1	7	88	3	1			564,152
	3	7		-	2	0		In					1	7	88	4	1			266,850
	3	7		-	1	1		In					1	7	88	3	1			222,076	*
57	3	8		-	1	0		In					0	2	89	5	4			557,176	*
56	3	9		-	0	0		In					0	1	79	9	11			362,482	*
55	2	9		-	1	0		In					0	0	69	10	20			150,457	*
54	2	10		-	0	0		In					0	0	52	11	37			81,206	*
53	1	10		-	1	0		In						0	38	9	53			23,694	*
52	1	11		-	0	0		In							22	8	71			10,272	*
51	0	11		-	1	0		In							12	4	85			1,673	*
50	0	12		-	0	0		100.0	%						5	2	93	0		4,412

Total:								100.0	%	0	0	11	26	30	32	1	1	0		24,393,362

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cowichan Valley 3 Alberni Valley 5	-0.3
Merritt 3 Nanaimo 5	+0.1

Tuesday	None

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT		T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16

74	12	0		-	0	0		4	12	4	0	79		0
73	11	0		-	1	0		1	5	4	0	89		1		0
72	11	1		-	0	0		0	2	2	0	93	0	2		0
71	10	1		-	1	0		0	1	1	0	91	0	6		0
70	10	2		-	0	0		0	0	0	0	85	1	12		1
69	9	2		-	1	0			0	0	0	71	2	24		3	0
68	9	3		-	0	0			0	0	0	54	4	35	0	7	0
	8	2		-	2	0			0	0	0	51	5	36	0	8	0
67	8	3		-	1	0			0	0	0	32	7	46	0	15	0
	8	3		-	0	1			0	0	0	34	6	46	0	13	0
	7	2		-	3	0			0	0	0	29	6	47	0	17	0
66	8	4		-	0	0				0	0	17	7	52	0	23	1
	7	3		-	2	0					0	14	7	51	0	27	1
	7	3		-	1	1				0	0	16	7	52	0	25	1
65	7	4		-	1	0						5	5	48	1	37	4
	7	4		-	0	1						6	5	51	1	33	3
	6	3		-	3	0						5	5	47	1	39	4
64	7	5		-	0	0						2	3	41	2	43	9
	6	4		-	2	0						1	2	37	2	47	10
	6	4		-	1	1						1	3	39	2	45	10
	6	4		-	0	2						1	2	37	2	47	10
63	6	5		-	1	0						0	1	26	4	48	21
	6	5		-	0	1						0	1	28	4	46	20
	5	4		-	3	0						0	1	22	4	51	23
	5	4		-	2	1						0	1	24	4	49	22
62	6	6		-	0	0						0	0	16	5	44	35
	5	5		-	2	0						0	0	13	4	46	37
	5	5		-	1	1						0	0	14	5	45	36
	5	5		-	0	2						0	0	13	4	46	37
61	5	6		-	1	0						0	0	6	4	35	55
	5	6		-	0	1						0	0	7	4	34	54
	4	5		-	3	0						0	0	5	3	36	56
	4	5		-	2	1						0	0	6	4	35	56
60	5	7		-	0	0							0	3	3	24	70	0	0
	4	6		-	2	0							0	2	2	25	71	0	0
	4	6		-	1	1							0	2	3	24	70	0	0
59	4	7		-	1	0								1	1	13	84	1	0
	4	7		-	0	1								1	2	13	83	1	0
	3	6		-	3	0								0	1	13	84	1	0
58	4	8		-	0	0								0	1	7	88	3	1
	3	7		-	2	0								0	0	7	88	4	1
	3	7		-	1	1								0	1	7	88	3	1
57	3	8		-	1	0								0	0	2	89	5	4
56	3	9		-	0	0								0	0	1	79	9	11
55	2	9		-	1	0									0	0	69	10	20
54	2	10		-	0	0									0	0	52	11	37
53	1	10		-	1	0										0	38	9	53
52	1	11		-	0	0											22	8	71
51	0	11		-	1	0											12	4	85
50	0	12		-	0	0											5	2	93		0

Total:								0	0	0	0	9	2	24	2	30	32	1	1		0