Bangkok Ballaz Playoff Chances 4 50/50

Lost to Tsunamis 1-2 (ot), playoff odds down 4.2 to 0%

30 points 7-2 7-5

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Bears 7 Ballaz 1	-15.1		-0.8
Dynasty 2 Costanzas 0	-2.7
Pixies 0 Turtles 3	-0.5
Nannies 0 Cats 2	-0.2		-0.1
Tsunamis 1 Hipsters 2 (ot)	*+0.1		+0.0
Squares 1 Islanders 5	*+0.1

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Turtles 1 Bears 0	Out		-0.2
Ballaz 1 Tsunamis 2 (ot)	-3.6		-0.3
Pixies 7 Atoms 1	-1.4		-0.2
Bears 3 Cats 0			+0.2
Compton 4 Cats 3			+0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cats vs Islanders			-0.3-0.2+0.2+0.2
Ballaz vs Atoms			+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Ballaz finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT	playoffs	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

32	-33								Out										100							4,547,742	*
31		0	-	0	0		-	1	Out										61	39						973,794
30		0	-	0	1		-	0	Out										50	50						3,571,510

Total:									Out										76	24						9,093,046

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Bears 7 Ballaz 1	+0.8
Nannies 0 Cats 2	+0.1
Tsunamis 1 Hipsters 2 (ot)	-0.0
Pixies 0 Turtles 3	+0.0

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Ballaz 1 Tsunamis 2 (ot)	+0.3
Pixies 7 Atoms 1	+0.2
Bears 3 Cats 0	-0.2
Compton 4 Cats 3	-0.2
Turtles 1 Bears 0	+0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cats vs Islanders	+0.3+0.2-0.2-0.2
Ballaz vs Atoms	-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.3

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16

32	-33																	100
31		0	-	0	0		-	1										61	39
30		0	-	0	1		-	0										50	50

Total:																		76	24