Bangkok Ballaz Playoff Chances 4

Lost to Bears 1-7, playoff odds down 9 to 1.8%

29 points 7-2 7-4

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Bears 7 Ballaz 1	-8.2		-0.2
Pixies 0 Turtles 3	-1.3
Tsunamis 1 Hipsters 2 (ot)	+1.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Ballaz vs Tsunamis	+3.3+1.0-1.5Out		+0.3+0.2-0.1-0.2
Turtles vs Bears	Out-1.6+0.1+1.2
Pixies vs Atoms	-0.3+0.0+0.8+0.4		-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.3

Chances based on how well the Ballaz finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Count

35		2	-	0	0		-	0	8.3	%			8	67	25				1,320,489
34		1	-	1	0		-	0	5.2				5	59	36				744,784
33		1	-	0	0		-	1	0.6				1	26	73				773,707
		0	-	2	0		-	0	0.6				1	26	73				105,204
32		1	-	0	1		-	0	Out					17	83				2,738,162
		0	-	1	0		-	1	Out					17	83				218,499
31		0	-	1	1		-	0	Out					11	89				773,980
		0	-	0	0		-	2	Out					11	89				80,462
29	-30								Out						100				1,585,784	*

Total:									1.8	%			2	26	72				8,341,071

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Bears 7 Ballaz 1	+0.5
Nannies 0 Cats 2	+0.1
Tsunamis 1 Hipsters 2 (ot)	-0.0
Pixies 0 Turtles 3	+0.0
Dynasty 2 Costanzas 0	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Ballaz vs Tsunamis	-0.6-0.3+0.2+0.4
Pixies vs Atoms	+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.3
Compton vs Cats	-0.2+0.0+0.1+0.3
Bears vs Cats	-0.2+0.0+0.1+0.3
Turtles vs Bears	+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	OT		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16

35	2	-	0	0		-	0						8			63	27	1
34	1	-	1	0		-	0						5			49	40	6
33	1	-	0	0		-	1						1			20	61	18
	0	-	2	0		-	0						1			20	61	18
32	1	-	0	1		-	0									10	58	31
	0	-	1	0		-	1									10	58	31
31	0	-	1	1		-	0									4	40	56
	0	-	0	0		-	2									4	40	56
30	0	-	0	1		-	1										28	72
29	0	-	0	2		-	0										15	85

Total:													2			21	43	35