How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/18100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Boise_State 42 UNLV 25 No
Wyoming 34 San_Diego_State 33 +0.4
San_Jose_State 38 Air_Force 41 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
New_Mexico vs Wyoming-0.6-0.6+1.0+1.0
Air_Force vs Boise_State-0.3-0.3+0.3+0.3
San_Diego_State vs Colorado_State-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Wyoming finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title1234567891011121314Count
71-0No14866,542
60-0No5303430169,114,292
0-1No53476,542
Total:No5303430169,127,376
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title