How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/18100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Charlotte 31 Middle_Tennessee 38 +3.2
Oregon_State 42 Arizona 17 *-0.1
FAU 24 Old_Dominion 42 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Southern_Miss vs Louisiana_Tech+31.3+31.2NoNo
+0.3+0.3-0.3-0.3
Marshall vs Western_Kentucky-18.7-18.7+18.8+18.7
-0.4-0.4+0.4+0.4
Old_Dominion vs FIU-6.2-6.3+6.4+6.2
-0.3-0.3+0.3+0.3
Middle_Tennessee vs FAU+6.2+6.2-6.3-6.2
+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Western_Kentucky finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title1234567891011121314Count
71-050.5%51492,160
60-031.231442555,862,160
0-112.91337502,160
Total:31.2%31442555,866,480
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title