How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/18100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Appalachian_State 42 Louisiana-Monroe 17 -4.7
-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Texas_State vs Troy-14.9-14.8YesYes
-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2
New_Mexico_State vs Appalachian_State+10.2+10.1-10.2-10.2
+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1
Louisiana-Lafayette vs Arkansas_State+2.3+2.3-2.2-2.3
+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1
I_daho vs South_Alabama+0.8+0.9-0.7-0.8

What If

Chances based on how well the Troy finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title1234567891011121314Count
6-7Yes1003,240*
50-085.2%8512355,860,000
0-171.8722532,160
0-240.24048121,080
Total:85.2%8512355,866,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title