How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/18100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Wyoming 34 San_Diego_State 33 -25.0
-0.4
Boise_State 42 UNLV 25 -13.2
-0.1
Appalachian_State 42 Louisiana-Monroe 17 *-0.1
Colorado_State 49 New_Mexico 31 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Air_Force vs Boise_State+25.0+25.0NoNo
+0.3+0.2-0.3-0.3
San_Diego_State vs Colorado_State+25.0+25.0NoNo
+0.5+0.5-0.5-0.5
New_Mexico vs Wyoming+0.2+0.2-0.3-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San_Diego_State finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title1234567891011121314Count
71-051.1%51492,160
60-025.025502555,862,160
0-1No49512,160
Total:25.0%25502555,866,480
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title