"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/18100.0*Average seed
Miami_OH 21 Ball_State 20 +0.1
Ohio 9 Akron 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Average seed
Kent_State vs Northern_Illinois-0.7-0.7+0.6+0.6
Bowling_Green vs Buffalo+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Northern_Illinois finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title1234567891011121314Count
51-0No1006,542
40-0No563213169,114,292
0-1No72286,542
Total:No563213169,127,376
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title