How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/18100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Boise_State 42 UNLV 25 No
Colorado_State 49 New_Mexico 31 -0.4
San_Jose_State 38 Air_Force 41 -0.2
Wyoming 34 San_Diego_State 33 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
New_Mexico vs Wyoming+1.0+1.0-1.0-1.0
San_Diego_State vs Colorado_State+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.2
Air_Force vs Boise_State-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the New_Mexico finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title1234567891011121314Count
61-0No52482,160
50-0No2525252555,862,160
0-1No50502,160
Total:No2525252555,866,480
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title