How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/18100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Boise_State 42 UNLV 25 No
-0.0
Colorado_State 49 New_Mexico 31 -0.2
San_Jose_State 38 Air_Force 41 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
New_Mexico vs Wyoming+0.6+0.6-1.1-1.1
Air_Force vs Boise_State-0.3-0.3+0.3+0.3
San_Diego_State vs Colorado_State+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the New_Mexico finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title1234567891011121314Count
61-0No53476,542
50-0No3430305169,114,292
0-1No86146,542
Total:No3430305169,127,376
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title