How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/18100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
East_Carolina 31 Navy 66 +11.8
+0.8
SMU 27 USF 35 -7.8
UCF 20 Tulsa 35 +2.3
Tulane 0 Temple 31 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
USF vs UCFNoNo+18.8+18.8
-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1
SMU vs Navy-12.5-12.5+12.5+12.5
-0.6-0.6+0.6+0.6
Memphis vs Houston+6.3+6.3-6.2-6.3
+0.4+0.4-0.4-0.4
Tulsa vs Cincinnati+6.3+6.3-6.3-6.3
Temple vs East_Carolina-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Navy finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title1234567891011121314Count
71-038.7%39461242,160
60-018.819282620855,862,160
0-13.1372738242,160
Total:18.8%19282620855,866,480
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title