How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/18100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
East_Carolina 31 Navy 66 +6.2
+0.7
UCF 20 Tulsa 35 +5.4
SMU 27 USF 35 -4.7
Tulane 0 Temple 31 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
USF vs UCFNoNo+31.0+31.0
-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1
Memphis vs Houston+7.5+7.5-8.5-8.5
+0.4+0.4-0.5-0.5
SMU vs Navy-10.1-10.1+5.3+5.2
-1.3-1.3+0.7+0.7
Tulsa vs Cincinnati+1.0+1.0-8.6-8.5
Temple vs East_Carolina-0.0-0.0+0.3+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Navy finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title1234567891011121314Count
71-025.7%26571266,542
60-014.21433191321169,114,292
0-12.025515736,542
Total:14.2%1433191321169,127,376
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title