"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/18100.0*Average seed
Charlotte 31 Middle_Tennessee 38 +0.3
North_Texas 29 Southern_Miss 23 +0.1
Texas_A&M 23 UTSA 10 +0.1
FAU 24 Old_Dominion 42 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Average seed
Southern_Miss vs Louisiana_Tech+0.5+0.5-0.3-0.3
Old_Dominion vs FIU-0.0-0.0+0.3+0.3
Middle_Tennessee vs FAU+0.0+0.0-0.3-0.3
Marshall vs Western_Kentucky-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Middle_Tennessee finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title1234567891011121314Count
51-0No526696,542
40-0No42274169,114,292
0-1No1006,542
Total:No42274169,127,376
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title