How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/18100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Nebraska 28 Maryland 7 -1.0
-0.1
Michigan 20 Indiana 10 +0.9
+0.2
Michigan_State 16 Ohio_State 17 +0.8
Rutgers 0 Penn_State 39 +0.3
-0.1
Georgia_State 30 Georgia_Southern 24 *-0.1
Purdue 20 Wisconsin 49 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Ohio_State vs MichiganNoNoYesYes
-0.5-0.5+0.5+0.5

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Michigan finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title1234567891011121314Count
81-0Yes1002,160
70-050.0%5047355,862,160
0-1No9372,160
Total:50.0%5047355,866,480
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title