"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/18100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati 7 Memphis 34 +0.6
Tulane 0 Temple 31 -0.3
UCF 20 Tulsa 35 +0.2
East_Carolina 31 Navy 66 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Average seed
Memphis vs Houston+0.5+0.5-0.5-0.5
Temple vs East_Carolina-0.3-0.3+0.2+0.3
USF vs UCF+0.2+0.3-0.3-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Memphis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title1234567891011121314Count
51-0No49512,160
40-0No25502555,862,160
0-1No52482,160
Total:No25502555,866,480
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title