How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/18100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
FAU 24 Old_Dominion 42 -2.1
-0.0
Charlotte 31 Middle_Tennessee 38 -0.7
-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Southern_Miss vs Louisiana_Tech-58.3-58.3+33.1+33.1
-1.5-1.5+0.9+0.9
Marshall vs Western_Kentucky-22.3-22.3+5.1+5.1
+0.3+0.3-0.1-0.1
Old_Dominion vs FIU-0.8-0.8+6.0+6.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1
Middle_Tennessee vs FAU-0.1-0.1+0.7+0.7
-0.0-0.0+0.3+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Louisiana_Tech finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title1234567891011121314Count
71-091.9%9286,542
60-058.65912624169,114,292
0-10.401717656,542
Total:58.6%5912624169,127,376
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title