How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/18100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
SMU 27 USF 35 -16.0
-0.2
East_Carolina 31 Navy 66 -8.5
-0.2
UCF 20 Tulsa 35 +2.7
+0.1
Tulane 0 Temple 31 -1.8
-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
USF vs UCFNoNo+20.3+20.3
-0.3-0.3+0.3+0.3
Memphis vs Houston-17.2-17.2+17.2+17.2
-0.6-0.6+0.6+0.6
SMU vs Navy+7.8+7.8-7.8-7.8
+0.3+0.2-0.2-0.3
Tulsa vs Cincinnati+1.6+1.6-1.6-1.6
+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1
Temple vs East_Carolina-1.6-1.5+1.6+1.6
-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Houston finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title1234567891011121314Count
61-036.3%3650132,160
50-020.32034331255,862,160
0-13.031952272,160
Total:20.3%2034331255,866,480
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title