"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/18100.0*Average seed
Fresno_State 13 Hawaii 14 +0.6
Boise_State 42 UNLV 25 +0.2
Colorado_State 49 New_Mexico 31 -0.1
San_Jose_State 38 Air_Force 41 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Average seed
Hawaii vs Massachusetts+0.4+0.4-0.4-0.4
UNLV vs Nevada-0.2-0.2+0.3+0.3
San_Diego_State vs Colorado_State+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Hawaii finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title1234567891011121314Count
40-0No13622555,866,480
Total:No13622555,866,480
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title