"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

NCAA Football Bowl Subdivision 2010

Houston +15.4, UTEP -18.0
Top 20 Games Above .500
Top 20 RPI

Explain

Chance will win regular season title
GConfOverallPCT%ChangeRPIChangeRankChangeStrength
Air Force1-02-01.0001.00023.8%+7.7.875087501+39.607Air Force Falcons
Arizona0-02-01.0001.00017.5+2.2.750050002-1.616Arizona Wildcats
California0-02-01.0001.00017.7+2.3.750075002+38.616California Golden Bears
Iowa0-02-01.0001.00013.8+3.3.750075002+38.614Iowa Hawkeyes
South Carolina1-02-01.0001.00029.0+12.0.750050002-1.604South Carolina Gamecocks
USC0-02-01.0001.0006.9-2.6.750050002-1.541Southern California Trojans
Florida0-02-01.0001.00023.6+5.0.687543757-6.603Florida Gators
Georgia0-11-1.500.5008.7-9.7.687543757-6.599Georgia Bulldogs
Hawaii0-01-1.500.5007.3+0.0.687568757+33.478Hawaii Warriors
Michigan0-02-01.0001.0009.3-1.4.687543757-6.572Michigan Wolverines
Michigan State0-02-01.0001.00011.2+0.3.687543757-6.593Michigan State Spartans
Oklahoma State0-02-01.0001.00016.9-3.1.687543757-6.590Oklahoma State Cowboys
Texas0-02-01.0001.00020.8+0.1.687543757-6.604Texas Longhorns
Texas Tech0-02-01.0001.00015.6+1.3.687543757-6.589Texas Tech Red Raiders
Auburn1-02-01.0001.00024.8+5.7.6250375015-14.576Auburn Tigers
Connecticut0-01-1.500.50015.2+9.7.6250625015+25.593UConn Huskies
ECU1-02-01.0001.00026.8+10.4.6250375015-14.548East Carolina Pirates
South Florida0-01-1.500.50011.9-6.7.6250625015+25.554South Florida Bulls
Southern Miss0-01-1.500.50018.5+5.3.6250625015+25.497Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles
Virginia0-01-1.500.50018.0+0.9.6250625015+25.563Virginia Cavaliers
Washington State0-01-1.500.5001.3-3.0.6250625015+25.405Washington State Cougars
Western Michigan0-01-1.500.50021.7+10.8.6250625015+25.531Western Michigan Broncos
Wyoming0-01-1.500.5004.1-9.0.6250625015+25.439Wyoming Cowboys
BYU0-11-1.500.5002.0-10.0.5625312524-23.450Brigham Young Cougars
New Mexico0-00-2.000.0002.0-3.3.5625562524+16.384New Mexico Lobos
Alabama0-02-01.0001.00021.4+1.3.5000250026-25.616Alabama Crimson Tide
Florida State0-01-1.500.50013.7-5.8.5000500026+14.557Florida State Seminoles
Idaho0-01-1.500.50016.6+1.0.5000500026+14.563Idaho Vandals
Kentucky0-02-01.0001.00020.5+4.2.5000250026-25.588Kentucky Wildcats
Louisville0-01-1.500.5008.1-0.8.5000500026+14.512Louisville Cardinals
Miami0-01-1.500.50019.6+2.7.5000500026+14.584Miami Hurricanes
Mississippi State0-11-1.500.5005.4-8.9.5000250026-25.600Mississippi State Bulldogs
Nebraska0-02-01.0001.00028.4+7.2.5000250026-25.609Nebraska Cornhuskers
North Carolina10-00-1.000.0009.8-0.9.5000500026+14.482North Carolina Tar Heels
Oklahoma0-02-01.0001.00012.0+1.1.5000250026-25.585Oklahoma Sooners
Oregon0-02-01.0001.00015.0+2.0.5000250026-25.616Oregon Ducks
Penn State0-01-1.500.5006.2-5.2.5000500026+14.532Penn State Nittany Lions
Pitt0-01-1.500.50010.0+1.2.5000500026+14.555Pittsburgh Panthers
San Jose State0-00-2.000.0002.8-2.4.5000500026+14.396San Jose State Spartans
Tennessee0-01-1.500.50012.9-4.5.5000500026+14.543Tennessee Volunteers
UNLV0-10-2.000.0001.3-5.2.5000500026+14.406UNLV Runnin’ Rebels
Utah1-02-01.0001.00019.5+8.9.5000250026-25.583Utah Utes
Utah State0-01-1.500.50014.2+6.7.5000500026+14.541Utah State Aggies
Western Kentucky0-00-2.000.000No.5000500026+14.391Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Wisconsin0-02-01.0001.00010.0+0.1.5000250026-25.585Wisconsin Badgers
Florida Atlantic0-01-1.500.50013.3-2.6.4375187546-45.465Florida Atlantic Owls
LSU0-02-01.0001.00017.0+1.7.4375187546-45.588LSU Tigers
Miami (OH)1-01-1.500.50010.7+4.2.4375437546-6.452Miami (Ohio) Redhawks
Notre Dame0-01-1.500.500No.4375187546-45.525Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Ohio State0-02-01.0001.00012.4+0.6.4375187546-45.602Ohio State Buckeyes
Rice0-01-1.500.5009.1-0.7.4375437546-6.455Rice Owls
Southern Methodist0-01-1.500.50018.9+7.5.4375437546-6.541Southern Methodist Mustangs
Troy0-01-1.500.50014.9+0.8.4375187546-45.500Troy Trojans
Tulsa0-01-1.500.50016.4+0.4.4375437546-6.526Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Washington0-01-1.500.5006.6+1.3.4375437546-6.546Washington Huskies
Memphis0-10-2.000.0003.0-7.8.3750375056-16.393Memphis Tigers
Northwestern0-02-01.0001.00012.5+5.8.3750125056-55.598Northwestern Wildcats
West Virginia0-02-01.0001.00018.6-1.8.3750375056-16.599West Virginia Mountaineers
Arkansas State0-10-2.000.0003.8-5.1.3125312559-19.426Arkansas State Indians
LA-Lafayette1-01-1.500.5009.3+1.4.3125312559-19.409Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns
Arkansas0-02-01.0001.00022.0+1.5.2500250061-21.616Arkansas Razorbacks
Army0-01-1.500.500No.250061-60.503Army Black Knights
Baylor0-02-01.0001.00018.3+0.3.2500250061-21.615Baylor Bears
BC0-02-01.0001.00014.3+0.0.2500250061-21.584Boston College Eagles
Boise State10-01-01.0001.00010.7+0.2.250061-60.508Boise State Broncos
Clemson0-02-01.0001.00017.6+1.7.250061-60.608Clemson Tigers
Colorado0-01-1.500.5005.5-12.5.250061-60.425Colorado Buffaloes
Fresno State10-01-01.0001.00014.5-0.1.250061-60.542Fresno State Bulldogs
Houston1-02-01.0001.00040.5+15.4.2500250061-21.602Houston Cougars
Iowa State0-01-1.500.50010.7-11.3.250061-60.459Iowa State Cyclones
Kansas0-01-1.500.50011.6+1.9.2500250061-21.500Kansas Jayhawks
Kansas State0-02-01.0001.00018.2+5.4.250061-60.577Kansas State Wildcats
Marshall0-00-2.000.0007.1-3.6.2500250061-21.401Marshall Thundering Herd
Maryland0-02-01.0001.00021.2+6.6.250061-60.613Maryland Terrapins
Minnesota0-01-1.500.5004.6-4.5.250061-60.511Minnesota Golden Gophers
Mississippi0-01-1.500.5009.4-1.3.2500250061-21.532Mississippi Rebels
Missouri0-02-01.0001.00025.7+9.3.250061-60.611Missouri Tigers
NC State0-02-01.0001.00019.7-0.1.2500250061-21.603North Carolina State Wolfpack
Nevada0-02-01.0001.00023.0+9.2.2500250061-21.602Nevada Wolf Pak
Rutgers0-02-01.0001.00016.3+1.0.2500250061-21.607Rutgers Scarlet Knights
San Diego State0-02-01.0001.00022.4+5.5.2500250061-21.613San Diego State Aztecs
Stanford1-02-01.0001.00017.7+4.0.2500250061-21.614Stanford Cardinal
TCU0-02-01.0001.00023.0+8.9.250061-60.609TCU Horned Frogs
Temple1-02-01.0001.00024.0+9.8.2500250061-21.538Temple Owls
Texas A&M0-02-01.0001.00016.5+0.4.2500250061-21.613Texas A&M Aggies
Toledo1-01-1.500.50010.7+0.6.2500250061-21.404Toledo Rockets
Vanderbilt0-00-2.000.0005.3-7.1.2500250061-21.414Vanderbilt Commodores
Wake Forest0-02-01.0001.00013.4-2.5.2500250061-21.583Wake Forest Deamon Deacons
Syracuse0-01-1.500.5007.0-7.8.1875-62589-88.517Syracuse Orange
Bowling Green0-00-2.000.0007.7-3.0.1250125090-50.454Bowling Green Falcons
Purdue0-01-1.500.5003.9-0.2.1250125090-50.496Purdue Boilermakers
UAB0-00-2.000.00011.6-7.7.1250125090-50.435UAB Blazers
E Michigan0-10-2.000.0006.9-8.1.062562593-53.467Eastern Michigan Eagles
North Texas0-00-2.000.0009.5-0.3.062562593-53.430North Texas Mean Green
Akron0-00-2.000.0005.7-1.0.000095-55.428Akron Zips
Arizona State0-02-01.0001.00013.4+1.0.000095-55.610Arizona State Sun Devils
Ball State0-01-1.500.50023.3-1.2.000095-55.544Ball State Cardinals
Buffalo0-01-1.500.50016.3-4.5.000095-55.512Buffalo Bulls
C Michigan0-11-1.500.50026.9-2.6.000095-55.604Central Michigan Chippewas
Cincinnati0-01-1.500.50012.8+5.3.000095-55.561Cincinnati Bearcats
Colorado State0-00-2.000.0001.9-3.5.000095-55.384Colorado State Rams
Duke0-01-1.500.50015.7-2.4.000095-55.517Duke Blue Devils
Florida Int10-00-1.000.00012.4-1.8.000095-55.479Florida International Golden Panthers
Georgia Tech0-01-1.500.50025.4+2.1.000095-55.576Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Illinois0-01-1.500.5009.5+5.3.000095-55.576Illinois Fighting Illini
Indiana10-01-01.0001.0006.7-4.1.000095-55.554Indiana Hoosiers
Kent State0-01-1.500.50023.8+0.8.000095-55.558Kent State Golden Flashes
LA Tech0-01-1.500.5005.1-11.4.000095-55.442Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
LA-Monroe10-00-1.000.00010.8-5.1.000095-55.444Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
Middle Tenn State0-01-1.500.50025.9+12.6.000095-55.541Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
Navy0-01-1.500.500No.000095-55.516Navy Midshipmen
New Mexico State10-00-1.000.0005.7-3.3.000095-55.456New Mexico State Aggies
Northern Illinois0-01-1.500.50010.6+0.4.000095-55.459Northern Illinois Huskies
Ohio0-11-1.500.50011.8-6.4.000095-55.558Ohio Bobcats
Oregon State10-00-1.000.0003.3-2.7.000095-55.473Oregon State Beavers
Tulane0-01-1.500.50010.1-4.6.000095-55.472Tulane Green Wave
UCF0-01-1.500.50033.1+3.4.000095-55.571Central Florida Knights
UCLA0-10-2.000.0000.5-4.6.000095-55.395UCLA Bruins
UTEP0-11-1.500.5005.1-18.0.000095-55.475UTEP Miners
Virginia Tech0-00-2.000.00011.5-2.3.000095-55.475Virginia Tech Hokies

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/10
Houston 54 UTEP 24
Tue100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Rice+0.4
Southern Methodist+0.4
Tulsa*-0.4
Houston+12.7
+0.6
UTEP-13.1
-0.6
Temple 13 C Michigan 10 (ot)
Tue100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Western Michigan+1.2
+0.1
Miami (OH)-0.4
-0.1
Temple+4.7
+0.4
Toledo+0.9
+0.1
Bowling Green-0.7
-0.1
E Michigan+1.4
+0.1
Akron-0.5
-0.1
Ball State+2.5
+0.1
Buffalo-1.1
-0.1
C Michigan-7.3
-0.3
Kent State-1.0
Northern Illinois+1.3
+0.1
Ohio-1.0
-0.1
Toledo 20 Ohio 13
Tue100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Western Michigan-0.5
-0.1
Miami (OH)+0.6
+0.1
Temple+1.2
+0.1
Toledo+4.7
+0.4
Bowling Green+0.8
E Michigan-0.6
-0.1
Akron+0.8
+0.1
Ball State-1.2
-0.1
Buffalo+1.7
+0.1
C Michigan-1.7
-0.1
Kent State+1.7
+0.1
Northern Illinois-0.7
-0.1
Ohio-6.7
-0.5
South Carolina 17 Georgia 6
Tue100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
South Carolina+8.5
+0.6
Florida+0.5
Georgia-9.7
-0.6
Vanderbilt+0.4
Auburn 17 Mississippi State 14
Tue100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Auburn+9.2
+0.6
Mississippi State-8.7
-0.6
LSU-0.5
Miami (OH) 28 E Michigan 21
Tue100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Western Michigan+0.6
+0.1
Miami (OH)+2.5
+0.4
Temple-0.6
-0.1
Toledo+0.7
+0.1
E Michigan-5.1
-0.3
Akron-0.1
Ball State+1.2
+0.1
Buffalo-0.6
C Michigan+1.8
+0.1
Kent State-0.6
Northern Illinois+0.7
+0.1
Ohio-0.1
ECU 49 Memphis 27
Tue100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
ECU+6.3
+0.5
Memphis-6.0
-0.5
Marshall-0.4
Air Force 35 BYU 14
Tue100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Air Force+6.1
+0.6
BYU-5.9
-0.6
LA-Lafayette 31 Arkansas State 24
Tue100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Arkansas State-4.6
-0.7
LA-Lafayette+3.7
+0.7
Stanford 35 UCLA 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
USC*-0.2
Washington State*-0.2
Stanford+4.0
+0.6
UCLA-2.7
-0.6
Utah 38 UNLV 10
Tue100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
UNLV-3.3
-0.6
Utah+3.6
+0.6
Washington 41 Syracuse 20
Tue100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Alabama-0.6
LSU 27 Vanderbilt 3
Tue100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Georgia Tech*+0.4
Mississippi 27 Tulane 13
Tue100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Hawaii*-0.3
Week of 8/17
Tennessee vs FloridaIf winner is:HomeAway
3:30 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
South Carolina30.927.1
Florida11.336.3
3.82.4
Kentucky21.419.7
Tennessee21.93.6
3.14.4
Texas Tech vs TexasHomeAway
8:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Texas10.234.8
3.82.5
Texas Tech24.24.3
3.04.4
Texas A&M17.215.5
North Carolina vs Georgia TechHomeAway
12:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Virginia19.316.8
Miami21.218.2
North Carolina17.72.6
3.34.6
Duke17.014.6
Georgia Tech12.936.6
3.72.4
E Michigan vs C MichiganHomeAway
4:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Western Michigan23.620.2
E Michigan13.61.8
3.64.7
Ball State25.521.6
C Michigan15.035.9
3.52.4
Kansas State vs Iowa StateHomeAway
12:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Nebraska27.429.9
Iowa State4.520.8
4.43.1
Kansas State25.36.7
2.84.2
Western Michigan vs ToledoHomeAway
7:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Western Michigan27.58.8
2.73.9
Toledo5.721.8
4.33.0
Utah State vs Fresno StateHomeAway
8:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Utah State20.75.2
3.75.4
Fresno State7.524.4
5.13.5
LSU vs Mississippi StateHomeAway
7:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Auburn23.726.3
Alabama20.622.4
Mississippi State1.011.3
4.93.5
LSU23.77.9
2.84.2
Mississippi8.910.1
New Mexico vs UtahHomeAway
8:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Air Force25.622.8
New Mexico4.40.6
5.77.1
Utah10.724.7
4.33.0
San Diego State24.021.5
TCU25.021.8
Arkansas State vs LA-MonroeHomeAway
8:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Arkansas State6.10.9
5.16.6
LA-Monroe6.116.9
5.33.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.