How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/18100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Wyoming 34 San_Diego_State 33 +25.0
+0.2
Boise_State 42 UNLV 25 +17.9
+0.4
Appalachian_State 42 Louisiana-Monroe 17 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Air_Force vs Boise_State-25.0-25.0YesYes
-0.3-0.2+0.3+0.3
San_Diego_State vs Colorado_State-25.0-25.0YesYes
-0.3-0.2+0.3+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Boise_State finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title1234567891011121314Count
71-0Yes1002,160
60-075.0%752555,862,160
0-151.051492,160
Total:75.0%752555,866,480
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title