Balls Deep Football 2014-2015

Lost to Imp 103-153, regular season title odds down 20.8 to 16.8%

5-4 5-4 .556

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 10/25	100.0*	Chance wins regular season title	100.0*	Average seed
Balls 103 Imp 153	-22.9		-0.7
Shake 164 Salt 98	+7.0		+0.1
TJFS 189 TBB 96	+0.6		-0.0
Rammer 156 Shots 98	+0.4
TDI 204 Bowties 163	+0.4

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 11/1	100.0*	Chance wins regular season title	100.0*	Average seed
Golden vs Balls	-14.1+11.7		-1.0+0.8
Salt vs Rammer	-10.4+15.1		-0.1+0.1
Shots vs TJFS	+1.3-0.4		+0.3-0.1
Imp vs Bowties	+0.6-0.2		-0.2+0.1
Shake vs PMF	-0.0+0.1		-0.0+0.1

Chances based on how well the Balls finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	Chance wins regular season title		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

7	2	-	0	67.0	%			6	61	24	9							828,130,671
6	1	-	1	17.4					17	33	46	4	0					3,853,600,389
5	0	-	2	Out						2	6	66	22	4				2,634,799,092

Total:				16.8	%			1	16	21	27	26	8	1				7,316,530,152

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12

7	2	-	0			6	61	24	9
6	1	-	1				17	33	46	4	0
5	0	-	2						5	61	23	11	0

Total:						1	16	20	27	24	8	4	0