How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/18100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Appalachian_State 42 Louisiana-Monroe 17 -0.1
-0.0
Georgia 35 Louisiana-Lafayette 21 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Texas_State vs Troy+1.7+1.7NoNo
+0.2+0.2-0.0-0.0
New_Mexico_State vs Appalachian_State+0.8+0.8NoNo
+0.3+0.3-0.1-0.1
Louisiana-Lafayette vs Arkansas_StateNoNo+0.1+0.1
-0.4-0.4+0.3+0.3
I_daho vs South_Alabama-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Arkansas_State finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title1234567891011121314Count
82-00.5%013873,271
71-00.10882106,542
60-00.206711832169,107,750
0-1No47311386,542
0-2No13343223,271
Total:0.2%06711832169,127,376
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title