Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title

Explain

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Chance will win regular season titleChance will finish regular season at seed
GConfOverallPCT%Change1234567891011121314Avg.ChangeRPIChangeRankChangeStrength
USF6-19-2.818.81868.7%-0.069320621.7.574025+1.710SouthFlorida Bulls
Navy16-18-2.800.80014.2+0.014331913212.9.595216-1.653NavyMidshipmen
Houston5-29-2.818.81812.3+0.0124135122.5.5928218-1.814HoustonCougars
Temple6-18-3.727.7274.8+0.05232145343.3.5366246.789TempleOwls
Tulsa5-28-3.727.727No0525704.6.563232.688TulsaGolden Hurricanes
Memphis4-37-4.636.636No481156.1.5119558-1.746MemphisTigers
UCF4-36-5.545.545No1574127.0.4850171.685CentralFlorida Knights
SMU3-45-6.455.455No12887.9.498965.386SouthernMethodist Mustangs
Cincinnati1-64-7.364.364No386039.7.431119103.294CincinnatiBearcats
Tulane0-73-8.273.273No232944410.7.4278105+1.355TulaneGreen Waves
Connecticut1-63-8.273.273No36705610.8.3925117.208ConnecticutHuskies
East_Carolina1-63-8.273.273No359310.9.40771114.351EastCarolina Pirates

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/18
SMU 27 USF 35
Sat100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
USF+18.4
+0.5
Navy-4.7
Houston-10.0
-0.1
Temple-3.7
-0.2
Tulsa-0.1
SMU-0.1
UCF 20 Tulsa 35
Sat100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
USF-4.5
-0.2
Navy+5.4
Houston+3.9
+0.2
Temple-4.8
-0.3
Tulsa+0.9
Memphis+0.3
UCF-0.9
SMU+0.1
East_Carolina 31 Navy 66
Sat100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
USF-0.5
-0.1
Navy+6.2
+0.7
Houston-3.3
-0.2
Temple-2.5
-0.2
Tulsa-0.1
Memphis-0.1
SMU-0.1
Cincinnati+0.1
Tulane+0.3
Connecticut+0.2
East_Carolina-0.5
Tulane 0 Temple 31
Sat100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
USF-3.3
-0.1
Navy-0.1
Houston-1.2
-0.1
Temple+4.5
+0.5
Tulsa-0.1
Memphis-0.1
Cincinnati+0.1
Tulane-0.2
East_Carolina+0.2
Boston_College 30 Connecticut 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati+0.3
Tulane-0.1
Connecticut-0.3
East_Carolina+0.1
Cincinnati 7 Memphis 34
Fri100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Temple-0.0
Memphis+0.2
UCF-0.1
Cincinnati-0.2
Tulane+0.1
Connecticut+0.1
East_Carolina+0.0
Week of 11/25
USF vs UCFIf winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
USFYesYes0.30.3
1.01.03.23.2
NavyNoNo45.245.2
3.03.02.82.8
HoustonNoNo39.239.3
2.52.52.32.3
TempleNoNo15.315.2
3.83.82.22.2
Tulsa4.74.74.54.5
Memphis6.06.06.46.4
UCF7.27.26.56.5
SMU7.87.88.08.0
Memphis vs HoustonHomeHome OTAway OTAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
USF68.868.868.568.6
Navy21.721.75.75.7
2.52.53.43.4
Houston0.50.525.825.8
3.03.01.91.9
Temple9.09.0NoNo
Memphis5.95.96.36.3
UCF7.17.16.86.8
SMU vs NavyHomeHome OTAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Navy4.14.119.419.4
4.24.22.32.3
Houston15.515.510.710.7
2.12.12.72.7
Temple11.711.71.21.2
2.92.93.53.5
Tulsa4.24.24.94.9
UCF7.27.26.96.9
SMU7.77.78.08.0
Tulsa vs CincinnatiHomeHome OTAway OTAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
USF68.668.669.769.6
1.71.71.51.5
Navy15.215.25.65.7
Houston12.4*12.412.112.1
2.42.42.82.8
Temple3.83.812.712.7
3.43.42.82.8
Tulsa4.64.65.05.0
Cincinnati9.79.79.09.0
Tulane10.710.710.910.9
Connecticut10.710.711.211.2
Temple vs East_CarolinaHomeHome OTAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
USF68.668.670.170.0
1.71.71.41.4
Navy2.92.92.62.6
Houston12.112.115.715.8
2.52.52.32.3
Temple5.25.2NoNo
3.13.15.45.4
Tulsa4.74.73.83.8
Memphis6.16.15.65.6
Cincinnati9.69.69.89.8
Tulane10.610.611.411.4
Connecticut10.710.711.211.2
East_Carolina11.011.09.69.6
Connecticut vs TulaneHomeHome OTAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati10.010.09.49.4
Tulane12.012.09.79.7
Connecticut9.29.212.012.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.