saintspelicans23 Playoff Chances 2003

Lost to Midway Monsters 314.26-327.2, playoff odds down 5.6 to 71.2%

8 points 4-4-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 10/29	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Title	100.0*	Last Place	100.0*	Average seed
Midway Monsters 327.2 saintspelicans23 314.26	-7.6		-0.8		+0.2		-0.4
BlitzBurgh 266.74 Phil 251.92	+1.6						+0.0
Desert Storm 272.32 Big T 319.1	+0.5		+0.1		+0.1		+0.0
CP84 297.32 Mile High Club 267.22	-0.3				+0.1		+0.0
Young Money 311.98 gatorbait 168.12					-0.1		-0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Title	100.0*	Last Place	100.0*	Average seed
Mile High Club vs saintspelicans23	-14.9+4.4+14.8		-1.0+0.2+1.0		+0.3-0.2-0.3		-0.7+0.1+0.7
Young Money vs Desert Storm	+1.7+0.1-3.9		+0.1*-0.0-0.2				+0.0+0.0-0.1
Big T vs gatorbait	-1.3+2.3+3.6		-0.1+0.1+0.2		-0.1+0.0+0.3		-0.0+0.1+0.1
CP84 vs Phil	-0.1+0.7+0.1
BlitzBurgh vs Midway Monsters	+0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the saintspelicans23 finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Win		Chance will finish regular season at seed										Last
TP	W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Title		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Place		Count

20	6	-	0	-	0	In		9.9	%	25	6	54	14							No		212,672,358
19	5	-	0	-	1	In		7.4		4	4	53	39	0						No		514,442
18	5	-	1	-	0	In		6.9		1	2	35	61	1	0					No		1,614,821,741
	4	-	0	-	2	In		8.6		2	2	37	59	0						No		491
17	4	-	1	-	1	In		6.5		0	0	14	83	3	0					No		3,232,285
16	4	-	2	-	0	100.0	%	6.5		0	0	5	72	21	2	0	0			No		4,947,445,316
	3	-	1	-	2	100.0		6.8				5	75	19	1	0				No		2,505
15	3	-	2	-	1	99.9		6.2			0	0	55	39	5	0	0			No		7,640,811
14	3	-	3	-	0	93.7		5.6			0	0	21	45	28	6	0	0		No		7,559,779,448
	2	-	2	-	2	95.5		5.7					23	47	25	4	0			No		4,282
13	2	-	3	-	1	82.1		4.7				0	5	33	44	16	2	0		No		8,399,965
12	2	-	4	-	0	41.0		2.3				0	1	10	31	38	18	2	0	0.0	%	6,006,410,446
	1	-	3	-	2	43.9		2.5					1	10	33	38	16	2		No		3,092
11	1	-	4	-	1	12.3		0.7					0	1	12	40	39	9	0	0.0		4,236,264
	0	-	3	-	3	Out		No										100		No		1
10	1	-	5	-	0	2.4		0.1					0	0	2	17	45	35	1	0.6		2,313,126,183
	0	-	4	-	2	1.9		0.1							2	16	45	37		No		722
9	0	-	5	-	1	0.0		0.0							0	3	32	62	3	3.1		769,629
8	0	-	6	-	0	0.0		0.0							0	0	12	72	16	15.8		332,463,059

Total:						71.2	%	4.4	%	0	0	4	27	22	18	14	10	5	0	0.3	%	23,011,523,040

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 10/29	100.0*	Lottery seed
Midway Monsters 327.2 saintspelicans23 314.26	+0.3
BlitzBurgh 266.74 Phil 251.92	-0.0
Desert Storm 272.32 Big T 319.1	-0.0
CP84 297.32 Mile High Club 267.22	+0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
Mile High Club vs saintspelicans23	+0.6-0.2-0.6
Young Money vs Desert Storm	-0.1-0.0+0.2
Big T vs gatorbait	+0.1-0.1-0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10

20	6	-	0	-	0	10	17	12	32	23	6
19	5	-	0	-	1	7	12	15	28	30	8
18	5	-	1	-	0	7	11	16	27	31	9
	4	-	0	-	2	9	11	16	26	29	9
17	4	-	1	-	1	7	11	16	26	31	9
16	4	-	2	-	0	6	11	18	21	33	12	0	0
	3	-	1	-	2	7	10	17	22	33	11	0
15	3	-	2	-	1	6	10	19	16	33	16	0	0
14	3	-	3	-	0	6	10	19	6	25	29	6	0	0
	2	-	2	-	2	6	10	19	7	27	27	4	0
13	2	-	3	-	1	5	8	17	1	15	36	16	2	0
12	2	-	4	-	0	2	4	8	0	4	22	38	18	2	0
	1	-	3	-	2	3	4	8	0	4	24	38	16	2
11	1	-	4	-	1	1	1	2	0	0	8	40	39	9	0
	0	-	3	-	3									100
10	1	-	5	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	17	45	35	1
	0	-	4	-	2	0	0	0			1	16	45	37
9	0	-	5	-	1	0	0	0			0	3	32	62	3
8	0	-	6	-	0	0	0	0			0	0	12	72	16

Total:						4	7	13	9	19	19	14	10	5	0