BlitzBurgh Playoff Chances 2003

Beat Phil 266.74-251.92, playoff odds up 0.2 to 99.97%

14 points 7-1-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 10/29	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Title	100.0*	Last Place	100.0*	Average seed
BlitzBurgh 266.74 Phil 251.92	+0.2		+0.9		No		+0.2
Midway Monsters 327.2 saintspelicans23 314.26			-0.2
CP84 297.32 Mile High Club 267.22			+0.3
Desert Storm 272.32 Big T 319.1			+0.3
Young Money 311.98 gatorbait 168.12			-0.3				-0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Title	100.0*	Last Place	100.0*	Average seed
BlitzBurgh vs Midway Monsters			+2.0*+0.0-2.3				+0.3+0.0-0.3
Young Money vs Desert Storm			-0.6+0.5+1.4				-0.1+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the BlitzBurgh finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Win		Chance will finish regular season at seed										Last
TP		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Title		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Place	Count

25	-26						In		33.3	%	100										No	1,180,171,946	*
24		5	-	1	-	0	In		32.8		96	1	3								No	4,789,859,333
		4	-	0	-	2	In		32.8		100										No	1,567
23		4	-	1	-	1	In		32.0		89	3	8								No	7,072,604
22		4	-	2	-	0	In		28.9		65	9	26								No	7,663,894,225
		3	-	1	-	2	In		30.0		71	8	21								No	4,240
21		3	-	2	-	1	In		26.0		43	14	43								No	8,831,228
		2	-	1	-	3	In		No			100									No	1
20		3	-	3	-	0	In		23.1		21	16	63	0							No	6,154,831,437
		2	-	2	-	2	In		22.9		25	16	59	0							No	3,751
19		2	-	3	-	1	In		21.0		7	12	79	1							No	5,197,804
		1	-	2	-	3	In		No				100								No	1
18		2	-	4	-	0	In		20.1		2	8	77	13	0	0					No	2,606,850,641
		1	-	3	-	2	In		18.0		3	8	79	10	0						No	1,425
17		1	-	4	-	1	In		19.6		0	2	70	27	1	0					No	1,429,517
16		1	-	5	-	0	100.0	%	19.0		0	1	32	47	18	2	0	0			No	544,993,319
		0	-	4	-	2	In		13.4			1	42	44	13	1					No	172
15		0	-	5	-	1	99.8		18.3			0	12	47	35	6	0	0			No	143,331
14		0	-	6	-	0	86.6		14.6			0	2	14	36	35	12	1	0		No	48,236,498

Total:							100.0	%	27.1	%	53	8	35	3	1	0	0	0	0		No	23,011,523,040

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 10/29	100.0*	Lottery seed
BlitzBurgh 266.74 Phil 251.92	-0.1
Young Money 311.98 gatorbait 168.12	+0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
BlitzBurgh vs Midway Monsters	-0.1-0.0+0.1
Young Money vs Desert Storm	+0.0-0.0-0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10

26	6	-	0	-	0	33	32		35
25	5	-	0	-	1	33	32		35
24	5	-	1	-	0	33	32	1	34	1	0
	4	-	0	-	2	33	34		34
23	4	-	1	-	1	32	31	2	33	2	0
22	4	-	2	-	0	29	28	8	29	5	1
	3	-	1	-	2	30	29	6	30	4	1
21	3	-	2	-	1	26	26	13	25	9	2
	2	-	1	-	3					100
20	3	-	3	-	0	23	23	18	21	12	3
	2	-	2	-	2	23	22	17	23	13	3
19	2	-	3	-	1	21	21	22	18	15	3
	1	-	2	-	3					100
18	2	-	4	-	0	20	20	23	17	16	4
	1	-	3	-	2	18	20	24	18	17	4
17	1	-	4	-	1	20	20	24	16	17	4
16	1	-	5	-	0	19	19	23	13	19	7	0	0
	0	-	4	-	2	13	24	25	16	17	5
15	0	-	5	-	1	18	18	22	9	21	11	0	0
14	0	-	6	-	0	15	14	16	3	15	25	12	1	0

Total:						27	27	11	26	8	2	0	0	0