Big T's Gorillas Playoff Chances 2003 50/50

Beat Desert Storm 319.1-272.32, playoff odds up 14.7 to 43.9%

6 points 3-5-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 10/29	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Title	100.0*	Last Place	100.0*	Average seed
Desert Storm 272.32 Big T 319.1	+13.1		+1.9		-8.0		+0.7
BlitzBurgh 266.74 Phil 251.92	+1.8		+0.2		-0.9		+0.1
Midway Monsters 327.2 saintspelicans23 314.26	+0.8		+0.1		-0.2		+0.0
CP84 297.32 Mile High Club 267.22					+1.5
Young Money 311.98 gatorbait 168.12					-3.5		+0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Title	100.0*	Last Place	100.0*	Average seed
Big T vs gatorbait	+14.1-4.4-14.1		+2.1-0.8-2.1		-6.1-2.0+6.1		+0.7-0.2-0.7
Young Money vs Desert Storm	+2.2*-0.1-2.2		+0.3*-0.0-0.3		-0.6*+0.1+0.6		+0.1-0.0-0.1
Mile High Club vs saintspelicans23	+0.1-2.8-0.1				-0.1+0.3+0.1		-0.0-0.1+0.0
CP84 vs Phil	-0.2-1.4+0.2		-0.0-0.2+0.0		-0.1+0.7+0.1		-0.0-0.1+0.0
BlitzBurgh vs Midway Monsters	+0.4-0.5-0.4		+0.1-0.1-0.1				+0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Big T finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Win		Chance will finish regular season at seed										Last
TP	W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Title		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Place		Count

18	6	-	0	-	0	In		19.1	%	18	58	20	4	0	0					No		117,564,000
17	5	-	0	-	1	In		17.0		1	45	25	28	2	0					No		249,154
16	5	-	1	-	0	100.0	%	16.3		0	31	21	37	10	1	0	0			No		694,197,182
	4	-	0	-	2	In		13.2		0	29	17	43	11	1					No		234
15	4	-	1	-	1	99.6		14.2			7	3	39	42	9	0	0			No		1,249,330
14	4	-	2	-	0	93.4		12.6		0	3	1	21	42	26	6	0	0		No		1,735,572,718
	3	-	1	-	2	93.1		11.1			1	1	19	44	28	6	1			No		917
13	3	-	2	-	1	63.3		8.0			0	0	2	18	43	30	6	0		No		2,497,087
12	3	-	3	-	0	34.6		4.3			0	0	0	7	27	39	22	4	0	0.1	%	2,314,012,488
	2	-	2	-	2	28.2		3.2					0	6	22	44	25	3		No		1,331
11	2	-	3	-	1	3.8		0.5					0	0	4	26	47	23	1	0.9		2,500,103
10	2	-	4	-	0	1.0		0.1					0	0	1	11	39	42	7	7.1		1,735,575,908
	1	-	3	-	2	0.5		No							1	10	38	44	7	7.3		930
9	1	-	4	-	1	0.0		0.0							0	1	13	59	27	27.1		1,250,463
8	1	-	5	-	0	0.0		0.0							0	0	5	48	47	46.9		694,169,911
	0	-	4	-	2	Out		No									3	43	53	53.5		245
7	0	-	5	-	1	Out		No									0	24	76	75.9		250,205
6	0	-	6	-	0	Out		No									0	13	87	86.8		117,565,874

Total:						43.9	%	6.2	%	0	4	3	9	13	15	16	17	16	7	7.5	%	7,416,658,080

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 10/29	100.0*	Lottery seed
Desert Storm 272.32 Big T 319.1	-0.8
BlitzBurgh 266.74 Phil 251.92	-0.1
Young Money 311.98 gatorbait 168.12	-0.1
Midway Monsters 327.2 saintspelicans23 314.26	-0.0

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
Big T vs gatorbait	-0.8+0.2+0.8
Young Money vs Desert Storm	-0.1+0.0+0.1
Mile High Club vs saintspelicans23	-0.0+0.1+0.0
CP84 vs Phil	+0.0+0.1-0.0

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10

18	6	-	0	-	0	19	19	12	26	21	3
17	5	-	0	-	1	17	17	16	18	25	7
16	5	-	1	-	0	16	16	17	15	25	10	0	0
	4	-	0	-	2	13	17	21	15	22	12
15	4	-	1	-	1	14	14	21	7	23	20	0	0
14	4	-	2	-	0	13	13	22	4	17	26	6	0	0
	3	-	1	-	2	11	13	22	3	17	27	6	1
13	3	-	2	-	1	8	8	16	0	5	26	30	6	0
12	3	-	3	-	0	4	4	9	0	2	15	39	22	4	0
	2	-	2	-	2	3	4	7	0	1	13	44	25	3
11	2	-	3	-	1	0	0	1		0	2	26	47	23	1
10	2	-	4	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11	39	42	7
	1	-	3	-	2			0			0	10	38	44	7
9	1	-	4	-	1	0		0			0	1	13	59	27
8	1	-	5	-	0	0	0	0			0	0	5	48	47
	0	-	4	-	2								3	43	53
7	0	-	5	-	1								0	24	76
6	0	-	6	-	0								0	13	87

Total:						6	6	10	3	7	12	16	17	16	7