SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Harvard Title Chances 2017

Lost to Penn 6-23, title odds down 5.4 to 0%

6 points 3-3

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 11/4	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Top Half	100.0*	Last Place	100.0*	Average seed
Columbia 14 Harvard 21	+2.6		+20.5		No		+0.8
Penn 38 Princeton 35	+0.4		+2.9
Dartmouth 10 Cornell 0	+0.3		-0.8				-0.1
Brown 10 Dartmouth 33	-0.2		-1.5				-0.1

Week of 11/11	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Top Half	100.0*	Last Place	100.0*	Average seed
Harvard 6 Penn 23	-5.0		-32.7				-1.1
Cornell 8 Columbia 18	-0.8		+2.4
Princeton 31 Yale 35	No		-0.3				+0.2

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 11/18	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Top Half	100.0*	Last Place	100.0*	Average seed
Yale vs Harvard			No+48.2				-0.3+1.3
Dartmouth vs Princeton			-1.6+1.5				+0.2-0.1
Columbia vs Brown			-0.3+2.1				-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Harvard finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance		Top		Chance will finish season at seed								Last
TP		W	-	L	wins title		Half		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Place		Count

8		1	-	0	No		60.0	%		2	18	40	40				No		1,097,291,571
6		0	-	1	No		No						41	41	17		No		4,495,854,861

Total:					No		11.8	%		0	4	8	41	33	14		No		5,593,146,432

Games Above .500

Chance Will Win Championship