SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Dartmouth Title Chances 2017 50/50

Did not play, title odds down 7 to 10.4%

8 points 4-2

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 11/4	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Top Half	100.0*	Last Place	100.0*	Average seed
Brown 10 Dartmouth 33	+8.4		+20.6				+0.9
Dartmouth 10 Cornell 0	+3.7		+21.4		No		+0.9
Columbia 14 Harvard 21	+1.4		-1.4
Penn 38 Princeton 35	+0.1		+3.0

Week of 11/11	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Top Half	100.0*	Last Place	100.0*	Average seed
Princeton 31 Yale 35	-10.4		+4.6				-0.1
Harvard 6 Penn 23	+3.4		+1.0				+0.1
Cornell 8 Columbia 18			-0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 11/18	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Top Half	100.0*	Last Place	100.0*	Average seed
Yale vs Harvard	No+10.4		Yes-7.3
Dartmouth vs Princeton	+10.4No		Yes-7.3				+0.8-0.7
Columbia vs Brown	-2.1+2.1		-1.0+1.0				-0.3+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Dartmouth finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance		Top		Chance will finish season at seed								Last
TP		W	-	L	wins title		Half		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Place		Count

10		1	-	0	20.8	%	Yes		21	58	21						No		882,439,856
8		0	-	1	No		85.4	%		15	35	35	15				No		882,460,688

Total:					10.4	%	92.7	%	10	36	28	18	7				No		1,764,900,544

Games Above .500

Chance Will Win Championship