"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/4100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Top Half100.0*Average seed
Columbia 14 Harvard 21 -15.8
-16.1
-0.8
Dartmouth 10 Cornell 0 +1.8
-1.8
Penn 38 Princeton 35 +1.4
+1.5
+0.1
Brown 10 Dartmouth 33 -1.2
-4.2
-0.2
Week of 11/11100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Top Half100.0*Average seed
Princeton 31 Yale 35 -10.4
+1.6
-0.1
Cornell 8 Columbia 18 +8.6
+29.0
+1.1
Harvard 6 Penn 23 +1.8
+2.9
+0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 11/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Top Half100.0*Average seed
Yale vs HarvardNo+10.4
Yes-7.3
Columbia vs Brown+10.4No
Yes-7.3
+0.7-0.7
Dartmouth vs Princeton-2.1+2.1
-1.0+1.0
-0.3+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceTopChance will finish season at seedLast
TPW-Lwins titleHalf12345678PlaceCount
101-020.8%Yes215821No882,427,763
80-1No85.4%15353515No882,472,781
Total:10.4%92.7%103628187No1,764,900,544
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Championship