Bad Boys on Fire Playoff Chances 2012

Lost to Doomsday 140-164, playoff odds down 20.9 to 9%
6-7-0   .462

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yeti Hands 181 Bad Boys 161 -14.2
-0.5
Chiefs 115 Philly 139 +6.8
+0.1
Topeka Power 143 T-Town 144 -5.6
-0.2
KSU Power 125 Blue Crew 127 -4.2
-0.1
D-Man 115 Doomsday 163 -0.2
-0.1
Jack Rabbits 145 Dynasty 159 +0.1
-0.0
Week of 12/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bad Boys 140 Doomsday 164 -21.7
-0.7
Chiefs 139 T-Town 120 +8.4
-0.0
Philly 144 Dynasty 134 -2.8
-0.2
Yeti Hands 149 Blue Crew 124 +0.6
+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bad Boys vs Dynasty+9.9-9.0-9.0
+0.8+0.4-0.8
Philly vs Doomsday-9.0Out+7.2
-0.2-0.2+0.2
Blue Crew vs Chiefs+6.9+6.6-9.0
+0.3+0.2-0.3
T-Town vs Yeti Hands-9.0+5.9+5.9
-0.4+0.2+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Bad Boys finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
71-0-018.9%0194222174,654,717
6.50-0-10.0034481839,135
60-1-00.001005,096,674
Total:9.0%092010609,790,526
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/25100.0*Lottery seed
Yeti Hands 181 Bad Boys 161 +0.5
Topeka Power 143 T-Town 144 +0.1
KSU Power 125 Blue Crew 127 +0.1
Chiefs 115 Philly 139 -0.1
D-Man 115 Doomsday 163 +0.1
Jack Rabbits 145 Dynasty 159 +0.0
Week of 12/2100.0*Lottery seed
Bad Boys 140 Doomsday 164 +0.6
Philly 144 Dynasty 134 +0.1
Chiefs 139 T-Town 120 -0.1
Yeti Hands 149 Blue Crew 124 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 12/9100.0*Lottery seed
Bad Boys vs Dynasty-0.6-0.0+0.6
Blue Crew vs Chiefs-0.3-0.0+0.4
T-Town vs Yeti Hands+0.4+0.0-0.3
Philly vs Doomsday+0.1+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T123456789101112
71-0-001945306
6.50-0-10344818
60-1-00113653
Total:09273331