"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/29100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*First Division100.0*Last Place100.0*Average seed
Dartmouth 13 Harvard 28 -1.3
-18.1
+5.2
-0.7
Brown 34 Penn 31 +0.5
+0.3
+1.7
Princeton 35 Cornell 9 -0.5
+1.1
-0.5
+0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 11/5100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*First Division100.0*Last Place100.0*Average seed
Princeton vs Dartmouth-9.6+9.6
+8.6-8.6
-0.5+0.5
Harvard vs Columbia-2.2+2.2
-5.8+5.8
+0.1-0.1
Cornell vs Penn+1.6-1.6
+1.6-1.6
-0.1+0.1
Yale vs Brown-1.6+1.6
-1.6+1.6
+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Dartmouth finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100
If finish:FirstChance will finish regular season at seedLast
TWW-LChance wins regular season titleDivision12345678PlaceCount
43-0No74.8%3264625No1,370,444
32-1No9.801049366No4,092,287
21-2NoNo328551514.7%4,093,386
10-3NoNo316968.71,368,219
Total:No13.1%0392224271414.1%10,924,336
Games Above .500
RPI