Utah Blaze Playoff Chances 2011

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.0006 to 8.1%

7-9 .438

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 7/8	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Spokane 76 Utah 49	-30.2		-0.7
San Jose 60 Orlando 40	-3.4		-0.1
Tulsa 70 Tampa Bay 33	-3.4		-0.1
Iowa 48 Kansas City 40	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 7/15	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Utah vs New Orleans	+6.1+5.8OutOut		+0.5+0.5-0.7-0.7
Spokane vs San Jose	-1.5-1.4+1.9+1.8
Tulsa vs Orlando	-1.6-1.5+1.5+1.8		-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.2
Milwaukee vs Iowa			+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1

Chances based on how well the Utah finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Count

9	2	-	0	32.2	%				32	56	12				2,433,008
8	1	-	1	Out						23	50	27			4,923,819
7	0	-	2	Out							10	69	18	2	2,326,520

Total:				8.1	%				8	25	31	30	4	1	9,683,347

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 7/8	100.0*	Lottery seed
Spokane 76 Utah 49	+1.1
San Jose 60 Orlando 40	+0.1
Pittsburgh 34 Arizona 68	-0.1
Tulsa 70 Tampa Bay 33	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 7/15	100.0*	Lottery seed
Utah vs New Orleans	-0.9-0.9+1.2+1.2
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh	-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2
Tulsa vs Orlando	+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.2

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18

9	2	-	0							6	26	52	13	2
8	1	-	1									11	30	40	19
7	0	-	2										0	6	34	36	17	6	0

Total:										1	7	19	19	23	18	9	4	1	0