How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tulsa 70 Tampa Bay 33 +5.2
+0.5
San Jose 60 Orlando 40 -1.9
-0.2
Spokane 76 Utah 49 -0.7
Iowa 48 Kansas City 40 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 7/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tulsa vs Orlando+7.6+7.7OutOut
+0.6+0.6-0.7-0.7
Spokane vs San Jose-1.1-1.2+1.3+1.4
+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1
Utah vs New Orleans-0.3*-0.2+0.6+0.4
-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2
Kansas City vs Jacksonville-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tulsa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789Count
92-030.7%31581012,688,331
81-1Out2545314,826,093
70-2Out11473662,168,923
Total:8.5%9282826819,683,347
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 7/8100.0*Lottery seed
Tulsa 70 Tampa Bay 33 -1.1
San Jose 60 Orlando 40 +0.2
Pittsburgh 34 Arizona 68 -0.1
Iowa 48 Kansas City 40 -0.1
New Orleans 55 Milwaukee 76 +0.1
Spokane 76 Utah 49 -0.1
Philadelphia 49 Cleveland 21 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 7/15100.0*Lottery seed
Tulsa vs Orlando-0.9-0.9+1.0+1.0
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh-0.2-0.2+0.3+0.3
Utah vs New Orleans+0.2+0.2-0.3-0.2
Kansas City vs Jacksonville+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Georgia+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718
92-01021491641
81-1123235210
70-211435271750
Total:36202022186410