Pittsburgh Power Playoff Chances 2011

Lost to Arizona 34-68, playoff odds down 11.6 to 29%

8-8 .500

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 7/8	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Pittsburgh 34 Arizona 68	-10.8		-0.3
Philadelphia 49 Cleveland 21	+9.2		+0.3
San Jose 60 Orlando 40	+0.8
Georgia 41 Chicago 51	+0.8
Tulsa 70 Tampa Bay 33			+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 7/15	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh	OutOut+40.3+40.2		-0.9-0.9+1.3+1.3
Tampa Bay vs Georgia			-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Count

10	2	-	0	In			100								1,836,803
9	1	-	1	20.5	%		20			80					4,761,129
8	0	-	2	Out						80	20				3,085,415

Total:				29.0	%		29			65	6				9,683,347

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 7/8	100.0*	Lottery seed
Pittsburgh 34 Arizona 68	+0.7
Philadelphia 49 Cleveland 21	-0.5
Spokane 76 Utah 49	+0.1
San Jose 60 Orlando 40	+0.0
Georgia 41 Chicago 51	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 7/15	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh	+2.0+2.0-2.7-2.7
Tulsa vs Orlando	+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.2
Utah vs New Orleans	+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.2
Tampa Bay vs Georgia	+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18

10	2	-	0				100
9	1	-	1				20					59	18	3	0
8	0	-	2									7	23	36	32	2

Total:							29					31	16	13	10	1