Gambler’s Cup League Playoff Chances 2011 50/50

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	L	-	T	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	Avg.	Change	RPI

Hullabarbaloos	1	6	-	2	-	0	.750	60	70.0	%	+14.0	26	18	15	11	10	8	4	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	3.5	+1.01	1	Hullabarbaloos
Neighbor		6	-	3	-	0	.667	84	52.7		+13.1	13	13	13	13	12	11	10	7	5	2	1	0	0	0	4.5	+1.03	7	The Neighbor
Colo. Connectio		6	-	3	-	0	.667	129	53.9		-15.4	13	14	14	13	11	10	9	7	5	3	1	0	0	0	4.6	-0.98	2	Colo. Connection
Legion of Doom		6	-	3	-	0	.667	94	52.9		+14.3	13	14	13	13	11	10	9	7	5	3	1	0	0	0	4.6	+1.09	6	Legion of Doom

Melaniacs		6	-	3	-	0	.667	7	52.3		+12.9	14	13	13	13	12	10	9	7	5	3	1	0	0	0	4.6	+1.03	3	Melaniacs
Fighting Baculu		6	-	3	-	0	.667	56	48.6		+11.8	12	13	12	12	12	11	10	8	6	3	1	0	0	0	4.8	+0.97	9	Fighting Baculum
Yo11		5	-	3	-	1	.611	27	34.8		-17.0	6	8	10	10	12	13	12	11	9	5	2	1	0	0	5.7	-1.03	4	Yo11
Hollywood Dogs		5	-	4	-	0	.556	0	19.8		-15.3	2	4	6	8	9	11	13	14	14	11	6	2	0	0	7.0	-1.08	8	Hollywood Dogs
Pokes		4	-	5	-	0	.444	3	6.1		-8.7	0	1	2	3	5	7	10	13	17	15	13	8	4	1	8.8	-0.89	5	Pokes
bluebirds		4	-	5	-	0	.444	-57	7.7		-7.4	0	1	2	3	4	6	9	10	14	18	16	9	4	1	8.9	-0.87	10	bluebirds
Throwbacks		3	-	6	-	0	.333	-76	0.8		-2.5	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	6	11	17	22	20	12	3	10.6	-0.74	11	The Throwbacks
Covingtron 5000	1	2	-	6	-	0	.250	-100	0.4		+0.1	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	5	11	18	23	24	12	11.6	+0.61	14	Covingtron 5000
BUCS		1	-	7	-	1	.167	-33	0.0						0	0	0	0	1	2	5	11	22	28	31	12.6	+0.38	12	The BUCS
Orcas		1	-	8	-	0	.111	-194	Out		-0.0					0	0	0	0	1	2	6	13	27	51	13.1	-0.52	13	The Orcas

Week of 11/6
Yo11 45 Melaniacs 49
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Neighbor	+0.3
Colo. Connectio	+0.2
Melaniacs	+14.2		+1.0
Fighting Baculu	+0.4
Yo11	-15.8		-1.0
Hollywood Dogs	+0.5
Throwbacks	+0.2

Colo. Connectio 63 Neighbor 76
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hullabarbaloos	-0.2
Neighbor	+14.7		+1.0
Colo. Connectio	-14.2		-0.9
Legion of Doom	+0.5
Fighting Baculu	-0.2
Yo11	-0.1
Hollywood Dogs	-0.2

Legion of Doom 68 Hollywood Dogs 52
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Colo. Connectio	-0.3
Legion of Doom	+15.0		+1.1
Melaniacs	-0.2
Hollywood Dogs	-14.3		-1.1

Pokes 60 Hullabarbaloos 65
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hullabarbaloos	+14.6		+1.0
Neighbor	-1.1		-0.0
Colo. Connectio	-0.5
Legion of Doom	-0.8
Melaniacs	-1.1
Fighting Baculu	-0.9
Yo11	-0.7		-0.0
Hollywood Dogs	-0.6
Pokes	-8.4		-1.0
bluebirds	-0.2
Throwbacks	-0.2

Orcas 50 Fighting Baculu 57
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hullabarbaloos	-1.6		-0.1
Neighbor	-1.3
Colo. Connectio	-1.3		-0.1
Legion of Doom	-1.3		-0.1
Melaniacs	-1.4		-0.1
Fighting Baculu	+11.5		+0.9
Yo11	-1.5		-0.1
Hollywood Dogs	-1.3		-0.1
Pokes	-0.9
bluebirds	-0.6
Throwbacks	-0.3
Covingtron 5000			+0.1
BUCS			+0.1
Orcas	Out		-0.4

Covingtron 5000 59 bluebirds 49
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hullabarbaloos	+0.9
Neighbor	+0.5
Colo. Connectio	+0.9
Legion of Doom	+0.8
Melaniacs	+0.7
Fighting Baculu	+1.1		+0.1
Yo11	+0.8
Hollywood Dogs	+0.8
Pokes	+0.3
bluebirds	-7.3		-1.0
Covingtron 5000	+0.3		+0.5
BUCS			-0.1

Throwbacks 51 BUCS 98
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hullabarbaloos	+0.4
Colo. Connectio	+0.2
Melaniacs	+0.5		+0.1
Yo11	+0.3
Pokes	+0.2
bluebirds	+0.3		+0.1
Throwbacks	-2.4		-0.8
BUCS			+0.4

Week of 11/13
Legion of Doom vs Fighting BaculuIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hullabarbaloos	69.972.2*70.0		3.53.33.5
Legion of Doom	70.650.835.2		3.54.75.7
Melaniacs	51.751.352.9		4.64.74.6
Fighting Baculu	31.650.765.6		5.94.73.8
Hollywood Dogs	19.621.120.0

Hollywood Dogs vs MelaniacsHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hullabarbaloos	70.372.269.5		3.53.43.5
Neighbor	52.954.252.5
Colo. Connectio	55.151.152.9		4.54.74.6
Legion of Doom	54.0*53.151.8
Melaniacs	35.953.068.7		5.74.53.6
Hollywood Dogs	31.718.07.9		6.06.98.1

Yo11 vs HullabarbaloosHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hullabarbaloos	55.379.584.3		4.42.92.6
Neighbor	52.649.953.0		4.54.74.5
Legion of Doom	52.849.953.1		4.64.84.6
Yo11	50.034.119.7		4.75.76.8

Colo. Connectio vs bluebirdsHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hullabarbaloos	68.871.571.1		3.63.43.4
Neighbor	51.051.554.5		4.64.64.5
Colo. Connectio	69.751.138.2		3.54.65.6
Legion of Doom	51.652.554.1
Melaniacs	50.754.053.8		4.74.54.6
Fighting Baculu	47.451.549.7		4.94.74.8
Yo11	33.535.436.1
Hollywood Dogs	18.721.520.9		7.06.97.0
bluebirds	1.93.913.7		9.98.97.9

Orcas vs NeighborHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hullabarbaloos	71.571.268.4		3.43.43.6
Neighbor	40.349.365.3		5.34.73.7
Colo. Connectio	55.755.052.1		4.44.54.7
Legion of Doom	54.5*52.851.3		4.54.64.7
Melaniacs	53.951.150.7		4.54.74.7
Fighting Baculu	50.349.246.9		4.84.84.9
Yo11	36.535.733.1		5.65.65.8
Hollywood Dogs	21.0*20.018.6		6.97.07.1
Orcas			12.813.113.5

Throwbacks vs PokesHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Legion of Doom	53.753.652.1		4.54.64.7
Pokes	1.93.810.3		9.88.97.8
Throwbacks	1.60.50.0		9.810.711.4

Covingtron 5000 vs BUCSHomeTieAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Covingtron 5000	0.70.20.0		10.811.912.3
BUCS			13.112.712.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Gambler’s Cup League Playoff Chances 2011 50/50

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