SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holy capitalism Batman,
we’re in the Wall Street Journal

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Hemmaplan100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Gävle GIK 8 Hudik/Björkberg 6 +3.4
+0.2
-12.4
+0.8
Umeå City IBK 2 Salems IF 8 +1.7
-0.1
Hudik/Björkberg 6 Strängnäs IBK 7 -1.2
-1.5
+0.1
Wibax Patriot I 11 Umeå City IBK 4 +0.8
+1.9
-0.1
Hagunda IF 3 FBI Tullinge 5 -0.7
+0.8
-0.1
Djurgårdens IF 5 Salems IF 7 +0.3
-0.1
-0.3
+0.1
Strängnäs IBK 4 FBI Tullinge 5 +0.3
+1.4
-0.1
Umeå City IBK 7 Strängnäs IBK 11 -0.3
Hagunda IF 8 Granlo BK 5 -0.1
-1.7
+0.1
Täby FC 3 Hagunda IF 7 -1.9
+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTDrawAway OTAway
Granlo BK vs IBF Dalen+0.2+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.2
-0.3-0.1-0.4+0.0+0.3
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1
Week of 1/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Hemmaplan100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Gävle GIK 6 Granlo BK 5 +5.5
+0.1
-8.8
+0.7
Djurgårdens IF 8 Wibax Patriot I 7 (ot)-0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTDrawAway OTAway
FBI Tullinge vs Umeå City IBK+1.5+1.3+2.3+0.1-1.9
+0.2+0.1-0.0*+0.0-0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Strängnäs IBK vs Hagunda IF-1.1-0.7-0.0-0.1+1.2
+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0
Wibax Patriot I vs Granlo BK-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.4+0.1-0.5-0.2-0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Salems IF vs Hudik/Björkberg+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
-1.1-0.4-0.4+0.3+1.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Gävle GIK finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OT-WL-OTDplayoffsHemmaplan123456789101112RelegatedCount
416-0-00-0099.1%22.1%121591810No24,238,344
405-1-00-0096.910.0010523530No17,924,614
395-0-00-1092.23.1034247800No17,917,365
5-0-00-0192.53.4034346700No17,557,060*
385-0-01-0079.30.80125532010No140,654,677
4-1-00-1079.50.70125542010No19,934,960*
374-1-01-0064.20.10115333300No89,625,683
4-0-00-1165.80.1012533130No20,670,960*
364-0-01-1046.90.0054244800No89,633,618
4-0-01-0148.20.0064244800No59,201,528
3-2-01-0046.30.0054145900No31,488,258*
354-0-02-0024.2No1235122300No351,723,657
3-1-01-1024.2No1235122200No48,609,729*
3-1-01-0125.4No124522120No36,194,243*
343-1-02-0012.2No0124634700No179,226,000
3-0-01-1113.6No0134832600No30,174,443
3-0-01-2012.8No0134733600No22,837,910
3-0-01-0213.2No0134833600No26,479,042*
333-0-02-104.8No053344171000.0%179,260,227
3-0-02-015.1No053544161000.0118,400,149
2-2-02-004.2No043245181000.034,271,072
2-1-01-115.1No0535441510No26,243,904*
323-0-03-000.8No0115433560000.0468,879,891
2-1-02-100.8No011543356000.068,514,187
2-1-02-010.9No011644345000.045,261,708
2-0-01-211.0No011745334000.019,528,272*
312-1-03-000.1No063246151000.0179,245,964
2-0-02-110.2No073444131000.045,269,362
2-0-02-200.2No073345141000.034,261,118
2-0-02-020.2No073445131000.033,146,551*
302-0-03-100.0No021645306000.3179,234,370
2-0-03-010.0No0217462960000.3118,410,829
1-2-03-000.0No011445327000.422,837,545
1-1-02-110.0No021847285000.226,329,339*
292-0-04-000.0No0043043203002.9351,703,109
1-1-03-100.0No0043043203002.845,689,214
1-1-03-010.0No0053243182002.330,174,070
1-0-02-210.0No0063442172002.016,012,247*
281-1-04-000.0No00114403591010.089,626,015
1-0-03-11OutNo011742328008.230,180,231
1-0-03-20OutNo011641339109.122,839,466
1-0-03-02OutNo011741328008.216,550,013*
271-0-04-10OutNo0042543244028.189,633,684
1-0-04-01OutNo0052642234026.573,635,688*
261-0-05-00OutNo0019354014155.1140,666,659
0-1-04-10OutNo0110353914153.523,409,719*
250-1-05-00OutNo003204430477.217,927,951
0-0-04-11OutNo003224427374.415,741,452*
240-0-05-10OutNo00835451291.429,771,422*
230-0-06-00OutNo00219542598.124,251,713
Total:13.5%0.3%003101921201384206.2%3,840,999,232

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:38 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)