SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sometimes I
forget the point

M-Team Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Beat Ilves 18-4, playoff odds up 0.2 to 1.8%

27 points 12-0 8 3

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 2/14	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Straight Promotion	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Karhut 4 SBS Wirmo 6	-0.8						-0.1
Steelers 5 SB Vaasa 7	-0.3
Ilves 4 M-Team 18	+0.2				No		+0.1
LaSB 9 Blackbirds 3							+0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/21	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Straight Promotion	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
ÅIF vs SBS Wirmo	+2.3+0.0-1.2						+0.1+0.0-0.1
Blue Fox vs LaSB	-0.7+0.2+2.4						-0.1+0.1+0.2
Blue Fox vs Steelers	-0.7+0.1+2.4						-0.1+0.1+0.2
M-Team vs FBC Turku	+0.7-1.4-1.8		+0.0*NoNo				+0.2-0.2-0.7
Steelers vs M-Team	-1.8-1.4+0.7		No*No+0.0				-0.7-0.2+0.2
FBC Turku vs SB Welhot	+1.2+0.8-1.1						+0.2+0.1-0.2
SalBa vs Ilves	-0.2+1.8+2.1		No*No+0.0
SBS Wirmo vs SB Welhot	-0.3+1.4+0.3						-0.0+0.1-0.0
SB Vaasa vs LaSB	-0.1+0.0+0.3		No*No+0.0
SB Vaasa vs SalBa	-0.1+0.1+0.1		No+0.0No
Karhut vs Blackbirds							+0.1+0.0-0.1
Blackbirds vs PSS							-0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the M-Team finish out the regular season. Explain

													100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in		Straight		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L		D	playoffs		Promotion		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	Relegated		Count

33		3	-	0	0		0		5.8	%	0.0	%	0	0	6	39	41	14									No		1,156,523,733
32		2	-	0	0		1		1.0		No			0	1	23	55	22									No		274,063,839
31		2	-	0	1		0		0.0		No				0	2	26	68	4								No		1,430,935,325
		1	-	0	0		2		0.0		No				0	3	28	69									No		21,584,029
30		1	-	0	1		1		Out		No					0	12	66	20	2							No		223,477,113
		0	-	0	0		3		Out		No					0	15	77	8								No		565,291
29		1	-	0	2		0		Out		No						0	49	45	6							No		566,384,308
		0	-	0	1		2		Out		No						1	48	45	6							No		8,704,107
28		0	-	0	2		1		Out		No							13	51	35							No		43,849,437
27		0	-	0	3		0		Out		No							3	45	50	2						No		73,214,162

Total:									1.8	%	0.0	%	0	0	2	14	27	43	11	2	0						No		3,799,301,344

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs