"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 2/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Straight Promotion100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Karhut 4 SBS Wirmo 6 -0.8
-0.1
Steelers 5 SB Vaasa 7 -0.3
Ilves 4 M-Team 18 +0.2
No
+0.1
LaSB 9 Blackbirds 3 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Straight Promotion100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
ÅIF vs SBS Wirmo+2.3+0.0-1.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Blue Fox vs LaSB-0.7+0.2+2.4
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Blue Fox vs Steelers-0.7+0.1+2.4
-0.1+0.1+0.2
M-Team vs FBC Turku+0.7-1.4-1.8
+0.0*NoNo
+0.2-0.2-0.7
Steelers vs M-Team-1.8-1.4+0.7
No*No+0.0
-0.7-0.2+0.2
FBC Turku vs SB Welhot+1.2+0.8-1.1
+0.2+0.1-0.2
SalBa vs Ilves-0.2+1.8+2.1
No*No+0.0
SBS Wirmo vs SB Welhot-0.3+1.4+0.3
-0.0+0.1-0.0
SB Vaasa vs LaSB-0.1+0.0+0.3
No*No+0.0
SB Vaasa vs SalBa-0.1+0.1+0.1
No+0.0No
Karhut vs Blackbirds+0.1+0.0-0.1
Blackbirds vs PSS-0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the M-Team finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inStraightChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLDplayoffsPromotion1234567891011121314RelegatedCount
333-0005.8%0.0%006394114No1,156,523,733
322-0011.0No01235522No274,063,839
312-0100.0No0226684No1,430,935,325
1-0020.0No032869No21,584,029
301-011OutNo01266202No223,477,113
0-003OutNo015778No565,291
291-020OutNo049456No566,384,308
0-012OutNo148456No8,704,107
280-021OutNo135135No43,849,437
270-030OutNo345502No73,214,162
Total:1.8%0.0%0021427431120No3,799,301,344
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs