Garibaldi Playoff Chances 2018
Beat Irish Club 5-3, playoff odds up 9.7 to 19.8%
2 points 1-0-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 7/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Summer Division One | 100.0* | Summer Division 2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Garibaldi 5 Irish Club 3 | +9.8 | +9.8 | -16.6 | +0.7 | ||||
| Sandridge Rover 7 Royston Club 1 | -1.1 | -1.1 | -1.7 | |||||
| Hollybush 3 Diamond Dogs 2 | +0.3 | +0.3 | +1.2 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Garibaldi vs Hollybush | +13.6-1.0-11.1 | +13.6-1.0-11.1 | -13.6-0.8+14.5 | +0.7-0.0-0.7 | ||||
| Royston Club vs Diamond Dogs | +1.7+0.4-1.6 | +1.7+0.4-1.6 | -0.8-0.1+0.7 | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | ||||
| Irish Club vs Racey Roystoners | -0.9+0.4+0.2 | -0.9+0.4+0.2 | -1.1+0.7-0.2 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 7/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Summer Division One | 100.0* | Summer Division 2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Garibaldi vs Racey Roystoners | +13.2-0.7-10.6 | +13.2-0.7-10.6 | -14.5-1.2+15.3 | +0.7+0.0-0.7 | ||||
| Diamond Dogs vs Irish Club | *-0.0+0.4-0.8 | *-0.0+0.4-0.8 | -0.6+0.6-0.6 | |||||
| Hollybush vs Sandridge Rover | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | +1.4+0.5-1.6 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Garibaldi finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Summer | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Summer | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Division One | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | Division 2 | Count | |||||
| 22 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | No | 1,725,624 | |||||||||||
| 21 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 65,771 | ||||||||||
| 20 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | Yes | 100 | 0 | No | 654,746 | * | |||||||||
| 19 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 99 | 1 | 0 | No | 4,090,976 | * | ||||||
| 18 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 95 | 5 | 0 | No | 18,108,367 | * | ||||||||
| 17 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 99.9 | 99.9 | 85 | 15 | 0 | 0 | No | 31,253,829 | ||||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.9 | 99.9 | 83 | 17 | 0 | 0 | No | 28,959,309 | * | ||||||||
| 16 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 98.5 | 98.5 | 63 | 36 | 2 | 0 | No | 81,335,807 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 98.9 | 98.9 | 65 | 34 | 1 | 0 | No | 54,062,026 | |||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 98.0 | 98.0 | 60 | 38 | 2 | 0 | No | 20,897,794 | * | ||||||||
| 15 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 89.1 | 89.1 | 33 | 56 | 11 | 0 | 0 | No | 168,487,895 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 87.5 | 87.5 | 31 | 56 | 12 | 0 | 0 | No | 84,523,420 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 90.2 | 90.2 | 35 | 56 | 10 | 0 | 0 | No | 71,091,614 | * | |||||||
| 14 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 57.7 | 57.7 | 8 | 49 | 37 | 5 | 0 | No | 233,252,732 | * | ||||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 55.5 | 55.5 | 8 | 48 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 218,482,640 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 59.7 | 59.7 | 9 | 51 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 49,671,681 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 53.4 | 53.4 | 7 | 46 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 43,873,844 | |||||||
| 13 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 15.6 | 15.6 | 0 | 15 | 48 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0.1 | 360,907,681 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 15.9 | 15.9 | 0 | 16 | 48 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 205,713,703 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 15.1 | 15.1 | 0 | 15 | 47 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 0.1 | 150,964,366 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 9 | - | 0 | 15.8 | 15.8 | 0 | 15 | 49 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 22,820,388 | |||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 14.5 | 14.5 | 0 | 14 | 46 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 0.1 | 11,375,196 | |||||||
| 12 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 47 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 3.7 | 372,179,774 | |||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 47 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 3.7 | 311,189,804 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 8 | - | 1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 48 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 3.7 | 106,108,990 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 48 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 3.7 | 64,486,270 | * | |||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 52 | 27 | 1 | 27.9 | 384,461,530 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 52 | 28 | 1 | 29.1 | 219,071,985 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 52 | 26 | 1 | 26.7 | 160,809,419 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 9 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 52 | 30 | 1 | 30.5 | 24,289,800 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 52 | 25 | 1 | 25.6 | 12,117,270 | |||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 28 | 61 | 9 | 69.9 | 263,544,364 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 30 | 59 | 9 | 67.6 | 247,934,536 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 26 | 62 | 10 | 72.4 | 56,331,457 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 32 | 58 | 8 | 65.4 | 50,849,338 | * | |||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 61 | 32 | 93.1 | 203,583,160 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 8 | 62 | 30 | 91.8 | 102,190,809 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 60 | 35 | 94.3 | 77,324,702 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 9 | 63 | 28 | 90.5 | 8,562,931 | ||||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 40 | 60 | 99.1 | 104,729,180 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 37 | 63 | 99.4 | 69,571,873 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 42 | 56 | 98.8 | 26,934,911 | * | ||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 16 | 84 | 100.0 | 42,877,636 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 20 | 80 | 99.9 | 39,737,518 | * | ||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 95 | 100.0 | 18,323,649 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 7 | 93 | 100.0 | 8,139,608 | * | |||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 7 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 6,371,461 | * | |||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,087,875 | * | |||||||||
| 3 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 116,573 | ||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 10 | Out | No | 100 | Yes | 1,728,356 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 19.8 | % | 19.8 | % | 7 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 8 | 28.2 | % | 4,846,974,188 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:43 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
