How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday, 12/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Howard 7 Morris 6 -15.4
-0.7
Cotter 4 Morris 7 +15.4
+0.7
Gushue 4 Howard 10 +0.6
Koe 2 McEwen 8 +0.3
Jacobs 8 Cotter 4 -0.1
Thursday, 12/4100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Morris 6 Gushue 8 -15.2
-0.8
Morris 7 Koe 8 -8.2
-0.7
Jacobs 4 Gushue 5 -2.9
-0.1
Cotter 7 Koe 2 +0.8
+0.1
Jacobs 7 Howard 4 -0.6
-0.1
Cotter 4 McEwen 9 -0.5
McEwen 3 Howard 4 +0.3
Friday, 12/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
McEwen 5 Jacobs 7 +2.9
-0.1
Gushue 5 Cotter 4 -0.2
+0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Morris vs Jacobs+14.3Out
+0.6-0.2
McEwen vs MorrisOut+14.3
-0.2+0.6
Koe vs Gushue-1.3+0.9
Howard vs Cotter+0.1-0.4
+0.1-0.5
Howard vs Koe-0.1+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Morris finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs1234567Count
32-078.0%781931,843,365
21-1Out396111,534,600
10-2Out871318,108,639
Total:4.6%51185831,486,604
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday, 12/3100.0*Lottery seed
Howard 7 Morris 6 +1.5
Cotter 4 Morris 7 -1.5
Sweeting 8 Anderson 2 +0.1
Thursday, 12/4100.0*Lottery seed
Morris 6 Gushue 8 +1.6
Morris 7 Koe 8 +1.2
Cotter 7 Koe 2 -0.2
Jacobs 4 Gushue 5 +0.1
Nedohin 7 Anderson 4 -0.1
Flaxey 5 Anderson 7 -0.0
Cotter 4 McEwen 9 +0.0
Friday, 12/5100.0*Lottery seed
McEwen 5 Jacobs 7 +0.2
Gushue 5 Cotter 4 -0.1
Sweeting 8 Flaxey 5 -0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Morris vs Jacobs-1.3+0.4
McEwen vs Morris+0.4-1.3
Middaugh vs Sweeting+0.5-0.2
Middaugh vs Nedohin+0.6-0.1
Howard vs Cotter-0.1+0.4
Anderson vs Homan+0.2-0.0
Nedohin vs Flaxey-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L1234567891011121314
32-013654144000
21-12464490
10-2553870
Total:1401117472540