"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday, 12/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Gushue 3 McEwen 9 +15.4
+0.7
Koe 2 McEwen 8 +4.5
+0.4
Gushue 4 Howard 10 +0.8
Jacobs 8 Cotter 4 -0.5
Thursday, 12/4100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
McEwen 3 Howard 4 -1.6
-0.7
Cotter 4 McEwen 9 +1.5
+0.1
Morris 6 Gushue 8 +1.3
+0.1
Jacobs 7 Howard 4 -1.1
Morris 7 Koe 8 +0.8
+0.1
Cotter 7 Koe 2 +0.4
Jacobs 4 Gushue 5 +0.3
Friday, 12/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
McEwen 5 Jacobs 7 -12.0
-0.8
Gushue 5 Cotter 4 -1.0
If winner is:HomeAway
McEwen vs Morris+16.9-53.1
+0.3-1.1
Koe vs Gushue+8.3-5.9
Howard vs Koe+3.6-8.0
+0.1-0.1
Howard vs Cotter-0.5+3.2
-0.0+0.2
Morris vs Jacobs-0.4+0.1
+0.3-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the McEwen finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs1234567Count
41-096.9%54349323,874,069
30-126.927551527,612,535
Total:80.0%43343164131,486,604
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs