"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday, 12/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Koe 8 Jacobs 4 -15.4
-0.7
Jacobs 8 Cotter 4 +3.6
+0.4
Gushue 4 Howard 10 -0.3
Koe 2 McEwen 8 -0.1
Thursday, 12/4100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jacobs 4 Gushue 5 -17.6
-0.8
Cotter 7 Koe 2 +10.5
+0.2
Jacobs 7 Howard 4 +9.6
+0.7
Morris 7 Koe 8 -1.4
-0.1
McEwen 3 Howard 4 -1.1
Morris 6 Gushue 8 +1.0
Cotter 4 McEwen 9 -0.5
Friday, 12/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
McEwen 5 Jacobs 7 +45.6
+1.5
Gushue 5 Cotter 4 -1.6
-0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Morris vs Jacobs-72.2+23.0
-1.9+0.6
Koe vs Gushue+3.2-2.3
+0.1-0.1
Howard vs Cotter-0.7+4.5
-0.1+0.6
Howard vs Koe-1.5+3.4
-0.2+0.4
McEwen vs Morris-0.9+2.9
+0.1-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Jacobs finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs1234567Count
41-096.2%234628423,877,809
30-11.014344127,608,795
Total:73.2%1735211311331,486,604
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs