Fabiano Caruana Title Chances 2018 50/50Season start, title odds unchanged at 50% 0-0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Friday, 11/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Average seed | Caruana vs Carlsen | +15.5*-0.0-15.5 | | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Saturday, 11/10 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Average seed | Carlsen vs Caruana | -15.5*+0.0+15.5 | | -0.2*+0.0+0.2 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Caruana finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | | TW | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | 1 | 2 | Count | | | | | | 6.5 | -12 | | Yes | 100 | | 12,263,174,765 | * | 6 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 50.0 | % | 50 | 50 | 1,835,330,576 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 50.0 | | 50 | 50 | 1,437,725,321 | | | 2 | - | 8 | - | 2 | 50.0 | | 50 | 50 | 706,058,609 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 50.0 | | 50 | 50 | 288,303,396 | | | 1 | - | 10 | - | 1 | 50.0 | | 50 | 50 | 75,121,121 | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 50.0 | | 50 | 50 | 6,692,555 | | | 0 | - | 12 | - | 0 | 50.0 | | 50 | 50 | 1,361,481 | | 0 | -5.5 | | No | | 100 | 12,262,997,608 | * | | | | | | Total: | 50.0 | % | 50 | 50 | 28,876,765,432 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |