How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 12/13 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed Grand Blanc 26 Walled Lake Western 4 +0.1 -0.0 Waterford Mott 26 Lakeland 4 -0.1 If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway Walled Lake Central vs Pinckney +1.5+1.4-3.0-3.0 +0.7+0.7-1.4-1.4 Walled Lake Central vs Plymouth +1.9+1.9-2.0-1.9 +1.1+1.2-1.1-1.1 Milford vs Hartland -0.2-0.5*+0.2+0.1 Howell vs Pinckney +0.1*+0.2*-0.4-0.2 -0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.0 Milford vs John Glenn -0.2*-0.3*+0.3+0.1 South Lyon vs Grand Blanc -0.2*-0.4*+0.1+0.1 +0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0 Lakeland vs Hartland -0.2*-0.3*+0.0+0.1 Wayne Memorial vs Brighton +0.1*+0.1*-0.0-0.2 +0.0*+0.1+0.0-0.0 Canton vs Wayne Memorial -0.1*-0.2*+0.1+0.1 Waterford Kettering vs Northville +0.1*+0.0*-0.1-0.1 Waterford Kettering vs Walled Lake Northern -0.1*-0.1*-0.0+0.0 Salem vs Novi -0.1*-0.1*+0.2+0.1 Novi vs Milford +0.0*+0.2*-0.3-0.1 South Lyon vs South Lyon East -0.0*-0.3*-0.1+0.0 +0.1+0.0*-0.1-0.0 Salem vs Lakeland -0.0*-0.2*+0.0+0.0 Howell vs Plymouth +0.0*+0.1*-0.1-0.0 South Lyon East vs Walled Lake Western -0.0*-0.0*+0.1+0.1 Walled Lake Northern vs Howell -0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0 Hartland vs John Glenn +0.0*+0.1-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Walled Lake Central finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Chance will finish regular season at seed TW W - L playoffs 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Count 15 14 - 0 In 100 0 1,583 14 13 - 1 In 96 3 0 0 12,094 13 12 - 2 In 78 15 1 6 0 68,247 12 11 - 3 In 37 29 5 27 2 0 228,847 11 10 - 4 In 6 17 11 45 19 2 0 0 519,258 10 9 - 5 In 0 2 5 19 39 26 8 1 0 0 0 845,965 9 8 - 6 In 0 0 0 1 8 24 33 24 9 2 0 0 0 1,017,038 8 7 - 7 In 0 0 0 1 5 17 28 27 15 5 1 0 0 917,208 7 6 - 8 100.0 % 0 0 2 8 20 28 25 12 3 1 0 0 624,695 6 5 - 9 90.5 0 0 0 3 11 24 30 21 8 2 0 0 318,475 5 4 - 10 26.6 0 0 1 6 19 32 28 11 2 0 120,020 4 3 - 11 0.7 0 1 6 22 38 27 6 32,716 3 2 - 12 Out 0 2 15 42 41 6,031 2 1 - 13 Out 0 1 16 83 628 1 0 - 14 Out 2 98 589 Total: 96.6 % 4 4 3 10 11 10 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 3 2 1 1 1 0 0 4,713,394
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs