How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 12/13 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed Grand Blanc 26 Walled Lake Western 4 +0.2 -0.0 Waterford Mott 26 Lakeland 4 -0.1 If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway South Lyon vs South Lyon East -4.8-4.4+3.0+2.8 -1.4-1.4+0.8+0.8 South Lyon East vs Walled Lake Western +2.5+2.3-4.8-5.1 +0.7+0.7-1.5-1.5 South Lyon vs Grand Blanc -0.5-0.8*+0.2+0.2 Walled Lake Central vs Pinckney +0.2*+0.2-0.7-0.4 Howell vs Plymouth +0.1+0.6*-0.0-0.1 Lakeland vs Hartland -0.4*-0.3*+0.1+0.2 +0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0 Howell vs Pinckney +0.2*+0.1*-0.5-0.4 -0.0-0.1+0.1+0.1 Milford vs John Glenn -0.4*-0.5*+0.2+0.2 Milford vs Hartland -0.4*-0.4*+0.4+0.2 +0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0 Wayne Memorial vs Brighton +0.1*+0.2*-0.5-0.3 +0.0+0.0-0.1-0.0 Waterford Kettering vs Northville +0.2*+0.2*-0.3-0.2 Canton vs Wayne Memorial -0.2*-0.1*-0.1+0.1 Waterford Kettering vs Walled Lake Northern -0.2*-0.2*+0.1+0.1 -0.0-0.1*+0.0+0.0 Waterford Mott vs Canton -0.1*+0.2*+0.2+0.1 Salem vs Novi -0.1*-0.4*+0.2+0.1 Walled Lake Central vs Plymouth +0.1*-0.0*-0.1-0.1 Novi vs Milford +0.1*-0.1*-0.2-0.1 -0.0*-0.0*+0.1+0.0 Salem vs Lakeland -0.0*-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the South Lyon East finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Chance will finish regular season at seed TW W - L playoffs 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Count 14 13 - 0 In 94 6 0 2,016 13 12 - 1 In 73 24 1 2 0 17,470 12 11 - 2 In 32 44 10 13 1 0 91,001 11 10 - 3 In 4 27 24 27 14 2 0 0 290,987 10 9 - 4 In 0 4 18 12 29 25 10 2 0 0 619,898 9 8 - 5 In 0 4 0 5 18 31 27 12 3 0 0 0 940,126 8 7 - 6 In 0 0 0 0 4 14 28 29 17 6 1 0 0 0 1,044,196 7 6 - 7 100.0 % 0 0 2 8 20 29 24 12 3 1 0 0 859,965 6 5 - 8 90.9 0 0 1 4 13 25 29 19 7 2 0 0 0 523,257 5 4 - 9 30.2 0 0 0 2 8 21 32 26 10 2 0 232,359 4 3 - 10 0.9 0 1 6 23 38 26 6 73,499 3 2 - 11 0.0 0 0 2 14 45 39 15,974 2 1 - 12 Out 1 20 80 1,971 1 0 - 13 Out 1 99 675 Total: 93.6 % 1 3 5 4 6 7 8 9 9 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 2 1 1 0 4,713,394
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs